Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, July 17, 2017
Bank Of England Warns “Bigger Systemic Risk” Now Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: GoldCore
– Bank of England warn that “bigger systemic risk” now than in 2008
– BOE, Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) concerns re financial system
– Banks accused of “balance sheet trickery” -undermining spirit of post-08 rules
– EU & UK corporate bond markets may be bigger source of instability than ’08
– Credit card debt and car loan surge could cause another financial crisis
– PRA warn banks returning to similar practices to those that sparked 08 crisis
– ‘Conscious that corporate memories can be shed surprisingly fast’ warns PRA Chair
Monday, July 17, 2017
Will Stock Market New All-Time High Uptrend Accelerate? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 17, 2017
Stock Market More to Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be in its last stage of completion .
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 16, 2017
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Calm Before the Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Jesse
“In truth, however, nothing is inevitable and very little is new. And tech is no more the root of the problem than are trade or globalization. Many of our most vaunted innovations are simply methods -- electronic or otherwise -- of pulling off some age-old profit-maximizing maneuver by new and unregulated means.” Thomas Frank
“It is my purpose, as one who lived and acted in these days, first to show how easily the tragedy of the Second World War could have been prevented; how the malice of the wicked was reinforced by the weakness of the virtuous.” Winston S. Churchill, The Gathering Storm
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Saturday, July 15, 2017
Stock Market SPX Uptrending Again After Microscopic Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2425. After a rally to SPX 2432 on Monday, the market pulled back to 2413 on Tuesday before reversing in the afternoon. Wednesday’s gap up opening rally continued into Friday, when the SPX hit a new all-time high at 2464. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.20%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.90%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: the Q2 GDP estimate, retail sales, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit widened. On the uptick: consumer credit, business/wholesale inventories, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, plus jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the NY/Philly FED and housing.
Saturday, July 15, 2017
Is the Stock Market All Knowing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Clif_Droke
“The tape tells all” is a Wall Street bromide we’re all familiar with. It neatly summarizes the belief that the major averages discount everything pertaining to the business outlook. It’s also a basic tenet of Dow Theory.
Writing a century ago, Richard Wyckoff was one of the very first market pundits to put this belief in writing. “The tape tells the news minutes, hours and days before the news tickers or newspapers and before it can become current gossip,” he wrote. “Everything from a foreign war to the passing of a dividend; from a Supreme Court decision to the ravages of the boll-weevil is reflected primarily upon the tape.”
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Friday, July 14, 2017
Bubble Update: Stocks Are Now at 1999 Bubble Levels (Guess What’s Next) / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Graham_Summers
Remember the 2007 Bubble?
Remember how everyone said that it really wasn’t that big of a bubble because stocks weren’t as expensive as they had been during the previous bubble (the Tech Bubble).
We all remember how that turned out: the bubble burst leading to the greatest financial crisis in 80 years.
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Friday, July 14, 2017
SPX Cycles, Fed Funds and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
This “amateur cyclist’s” chart (I am anything but a cycles analyst) of the S&P 500 shows that the 12 month marker (C12) meant exactly nothing as the market remained firmly on trend, after brief pokes down in April and May. We noted that C12 was a lesser indicator than the 30 month cycle, which has coincided with some pretty significant changes ( a few months). That cycle (C30) is coming due at the end of the summer. Will it mean anything? Well, this market eats top callers for breakfast, lunch, dinner and midnight snacks. But it is worth knowing about to a lucid and well-armed market participant.
Thursday, July 13, 2017
Financial Markets - 3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) regularly put out great free content on their site. If you've visited their site before, you may have seen "Chart of the Day," a featured series of videos that take a quick, but close examination of a chart from one of EWI's paid publications.
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Thursday, July 13, 2017
Can The Dow Trade to 30K or is it Just Another Pipe Dream / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Sol_Palha
Insanity in individuals is something rare, but in groups, parties, nations, and epochs it is the rule. Friedrich NietzscheOne group of experts state that the markets are ready to crash, another states the markets are ready to soar to new highs. Which group is one supposed to believe? For starters, the naysayers have the odds stacked against them as every so-called stock market crash has turned out to be a long-term buying opportunity. We view stock market crashes as once in a “lifetime buying opportunity” and frankly so should every self-respecting long term Contrarian investor. The smart money always swoops in and buys top quality stocks when there is blood on the streets, and the dumb money sells right at the bottom.
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Thursday, July 13, 2017
A Financial Crisis Of Historic Proportions Is Once Again Bearing Down On Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Financial politicians (aka central bankers) have a long history of saying the wrong things at the wrong time.
Far worse, they simply fail to tell the truth. They lie because they’re afraid of the impact the truth will have. This is a problem, because markets can’t function on false information, at least not forever.
They also face enormous pressure to “do something,” even when the right thing is to do nothing and just let the market clear.
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Thursday, July 13, 2017
What's Next for US Dollar, Stocks, Bonds and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Axel_Merk
The Fed’s “balance sheet reduction” may have profound implications for the dollar, gold, stocks and bonds. We provide an outlook.
It is said forecasts are difficult, especially when they relate to the future. Investors might want to pay attention nonetheless, not so much because I believe I have a crystal ball, but because investing is about managing risk. And there’s a risk that I’m right.
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Tuesday, July 11, 2017
Most Tech People Are Too Young To Remember That Silicon Valley Hasn’t Had A Real Crisis In 17 Years / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : Two weeks ago, I took a shot and called the top of the stock market.
My argument is that speculation is getting out of control. And not just on stocks—on Bitcoin, comic books, and all kinds of stuff.
When you have one bubble, others usually follow.
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Tuesday, July 11, 2017
Janet Yellen Just Gave Banks A Secret Hint To Pay Out $100 Billion In Dividends / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : Top central bankers choose their words carefully. They know sending the wrong signals can unleash havoc, and they’ll get blamed for it. More important, as masters in acrobatic flip-flopping and backpedaling, they rarely promise a specific outcome.
So when a Fed official does say anything definitive, I pay attention—because it’s almost never an accident.
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Tuesday, July 11, 2017
Stock Market Rally May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are breaking down to the trendline, but may not have crossed it yet. SPX passed the 12.9 market day interval for its decline yesterday afternoon. There may be either 8.6 more days, taking the SPX to July 20 (the day before options expiration) or another 12.9 days taking the SPX to the Wednesday following Options expiration. Either way, it may be a wild ride.
ZeroHedge reports, “U.S. index futures point slightly lower open. Asian shares rose while stocks in Europe fell as energy producers got caught in a downdraft in oil prices and reversed an earlier gain after Goldman unexpectedly warned that WTI could slide below $40 absent "show and awe" from OPEC. The dollar rose, hitting a four-month high against the yen and bonds and top emerging market currencies were back under pressure on Tuesday, following last week’s hawkish rhetoric from central bankers.”
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Monday, July 10, 2017
Lindsay Stock Market Cycle Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
Long-time readers know of Lindsay’s long cycle (points A through M) and that equities should now be in the final basic advance between point I and the secular bull market top at point J.
A basic advance is the equivalent of a cyclical bull market. A basic decline is usually the equivalent of a cyclical bear market but may not always reach the arbitrary 20% sell-off used by the media to define such a decline.
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Monday, July 10, 2017
Yellen Goes on Record: The Fed’s Pulling the Plug This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed keeps ringing bells to signal the top, but the markets aren’t listening.
Janet Yellen is set to present the Fed’s Monetary Report to Congress this week. Her remarks have already been posted online.
The results aren’t pretty.
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Sunday, July 09, 2017
Stock Market Still Bullish Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be in its last stage of completion.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 09, 2017
The Stock Market Quantified Elliott Wave Theory: OEW / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
In the coming months, and for some it has already started, many market pundits will be calling for a monumental crash. Some will proclaim it to be the largest crash in our lifetime. There will be various reasons. Extremely high debt levels, high market valuations, leverage in managed funds, prolonged low growth without a recession, rising interest rates, Quantitative Tightening, and even Elliott Wave patterns. The latter is the reason for this report.
The Elliott Wave Theory has been circulating in technical market analysis circles for 80-years. On the surface, it is easy to understand. There are five waves up during bull markets representing growth, and three waves down during bear markets representing contraction. Since the economy moves from growth to contraction it makes sense. Historically, one can even look at a chart of the DOW, over an 80-year period, and actually see the five waves with three advances and two intervening declines. From the 1932 crash low: 1937-1942-1973-1974-2007. Simple, right? In theory, yes. In real time practice no.
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Saturday, July 08, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2423. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2439. The market pulled back to SPX 2422 by Wednesday morning, then rallied to 2435 in the afternoon. A gap down opening on Thursday took the SPX to 2408 near the close. Then a gap up opening on Friday rallied the market to SPX 2427. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.2%. Economic reports for the week were slightly negatively biased. On the downtick: auto sales, factory orders, the ADP, the WLEI, plus jobless claims and the unemployment rate rose. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, plus the trade deficit improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s testimony to Congress, the Beige book, and industrial production. Best to your week!