Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, April 16, 2018

Bombs, Missiles and War – What to Expect Next from the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Friday night opened up a whole new perspective on the global markets with the coordinated targeted attack on Syria.  It’s not that we didn’t know this was a possibility, yet the event itself changes how the markets may react on Monday and throughout this next week.  Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have been diligently trying to identify the price rotations that will occur early next week and we believe this research post will help to prepare all investors for what may be a wild ride.

First off, with this event playing out late Friday night and early into Saturday, there are a number of things we have to consider.  The US Dollar may be under some pressure this week as a result of this event.  Gold and Silver may rally as fear and panic enter the markets.  Oil will likely rise on fear of a disruption or conflict related supply issue.  The US stock market will likely rotate with a bit with continued large price volatility early Monday morning as traders attempt to reposition after this event.  Given all of this, the long-term perspective has to be maintained in order to understand the true market dynamics.

Monday, April 16, 2018

Stock Market Futures Bounce, But Stopped at Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures bounced back but appear to be stopped at the 2-year trendline at 2675..00-2680.00 without making a new high. The Cycles Model suggests there may be some residual strength throughout the week during which options expiration may take precedence. OpEx has the ability to increase turmoil in the markets. As a result, this period may be protected by the powers that be.

Once Wave (3) begins, it should be unstoppable. However, there may be an effort to delay its onset.

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Stock Market More Weakness? How Much? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Trading Markets Amid Sound of Wars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Builderadv

Given the sound of wars both in actual terms and in economic terms, what do we see for the next few weeks into stock markets and forex markets ? We must delink our trading from event risk and be focussed on actual data and trading trends. Never trade what should happen but trade what is happening. The political situation is fluid with rumors of Trump unhappiness with Mueller investigations. Then there is the war machine which has kicked a gear with attack on Syria. This is not the end. We need to wait if this is going to go deeper if Russia responds. Then there is a underlying current of trade wars which is yet to be settled. A far lesser event is the earning season which is now upon but markets are still trading at 24x P/E so its fully priced in for a great earning season. In fact if market corrects another 10%, it is still fully valued.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Stock Market SPX May Tangle with the 50-day MA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has been correctively chopping higher on declining volume the past four days. It has bumped against the 2-year trendline five times in the past three days without a breakout. It hasn’t broken above the 50% Fib retracement at 2677.85. Could there be a breakout this morning? The EW Wave structure does allow a boost to just under 2700.00 with the current view. The 50-day Moving Average is at 2698.64.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Crude Oil Surges Over 8%, Gold and Silver Marginally Higher, Stocks Gain In Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: GoldCore

– Gold & silver eke out small gains; palladium surges 8% and platinum 2%
– Oil (WTI) surges over 8% to over $66.90/bbl; supply disruption risk
– U.S. dollar and Treasuries fall; geopolitical, trade war and fiscal concerns
– Stocks rally and shrug off trade war, macro and geo-political risks
– Bitcoin, major cryptos (Ethereum, Ripple etc) rise sharply
– Russia-US tensions high: Trump warns attack ‘could be very soon or not so soon at all’

Thursday, April 12, 2018

SPX Resistance May Prompt A Massive Short Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our analysis continues today with this research of a potential Short Squeeze in the SPX and other broader markets.  As you are probably well aware, we, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, have been nailing the markets with our detailed analysis for quite a while.  Our Advanced Analytical tools have called nearly every move.  Nearly two weeks ago we called a massive market bottom to form in the US markets – well before just about anyone else even saw a bottom formation. In fact, we have already banked 10% profit on the first half of our best-cherry-picked setup for subscribers and it’s continuing to rally more.

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Hot War and Cold Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raul_I_Meijer

This is turning into a comedy. A black comedy, for sure, but still. As both the Skripal novichok ‘poisoning’ case in Britain and the ‘chemical attack’ in Douma, Syria fall flat on their faces on a total and absolute lack of evidence, it’s becoming clear that western ‘authorities’ are not at all planning to let go of the privilege that in times gone by allowed them to claim whatever they wanted and demand to be believed.

And despite the insane amounts of spying that underlies their business models and will lead to their demise(s), here is where social media do play a decisive role. See, if you’re an ‘authority’, there’s nothing you would rather do than to close down those social media that let people spread news that contradicts and/or doubts what you just said, and undermines that privilege. But that also would mean you can’t spy on them anymore through social media. A toss-up?!

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Stock Market High Volatility is Not Consistently Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market started off in 2018 with a lot of volatility. The S&P 500 saw 23 trading days of >1% movements in Q1 (CLOSE vs previous day’s CLOSE).

This is supposed to be a long term bearish sign for the market. See this popular tweet:

Thursday, April 12, 2018

ADL Price Anomaly and TNA Stet-up for a 5% to 10% Stock Price Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling system has been hot.  Now we want to share something super exciting with all our followers – a super trade setup in the ES.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has identified what may be one of the best trading signals we’ve seen in a long time – a potential +100pt move.  That’s right, our advanced predictive modeling system is been calling a bottom in the markets for over 10 days now and we believe the following charts show us the that S&P will be one of the leaders in the move higher.  Therefore, we want to urge our followers to be prepared for a potential 100+ pt upside move in the ES within the next 3~5 days and to trade accordingly – we certainly will be.

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Top 8 Reasons to Find the Stock Market Emergency Exit Before this Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Michael_Pento

The stock market was trading at an all-time high valuation of 150% of GDP this January. That was indeed the bell rung at the very top. Stocks have since started to roll over, but valuations are still at 140% of the underlying economy. And that is, historically speaking, way off the chart. The average of this metric was around 45% throughout the decades of the 70’s thru the mid-1990’s. Therefore, the market is screaming for investors to hit the sell button now while there are still ample bids left. But, if your complacency and procrastination prevent you from realizing the truly dangerous bubble in equities right now, here are eight of the most salient reasons why you’ll definitely need to find the nearest emergency exit before this fall.

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Stock Market Long Upward Path / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Donald_W_Dony

As the U.S. and China "trade war" continues to escalate, the current market commentary often leans toward the negative and a possible market top.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

Thought the rhetoric clearly causes concern with investors, major U.S. market indexes continue to forge higher and have posted new all-time levels in Q1.

Monday, April 09, 2018

Stocks Breaking Down? Not Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The stock market retraced most of its last week's Wednesday - Thursday's gains on Friday, as investors reacted to worse-than-expected monthly jobs data release, trade tariffs announcement. Friday's sell-off brought the S&P 500 index back to its medium-term upward trend line. Will it break lower this time?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 2.2-2.3% on Friday, following worse-than-expected monthly jobs data release, among others. The broad stock market retraced most of its Wednesday - Thursday's rally, and it got back to medium-term upward trend line. Both, Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 2.3% on Friday.

Monday, April 09, 2018

US Stock Market - Donald Loves Me, Donald Loves Me Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

As everyone seems glued to their twitter accounts or their news feeds, the market has been both rallying and fading despite all the negative news of these trade wars that are supposedly going to tank our equity market.

I mean, its not like we began this correction well before trade wars began in earnest. Right? In fact, does any of this surprise you in any way, especially since the President certainly told us that these are some of the actions he will take even before he became POTUS. And, if you suggest otherwise, then you are simply not being honest with yourself.

Monday, April 09, 2018

Stock Market Retest of the Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, April 08, 2018

Political Posturing Distracts – Trade The Stock Market Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recent news about the US and China posturing for Trade Deals and the continued increase in rhetoric has weighed heavily on the markets these past few weeks.  Yes, trade issues are a concern for nations and fair trade is essential to support both economies.  Yet, the news seems to be exaggerated in scale and scope when one considers the totality of it all.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has recently completed a detailed analysis of the Chinese economy including a study of the expected pressures that are mounting throughout most of China/Asia.  A property market cycle, extended debt issues, foreign capital projects, military tensions and now “trade tariffs” are adding up to quite a bit of headwind for the Chinese.

Sunday, April 08, 2018

Stock Market’s High Uncertainty is Medium Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market’s volatility has been crazy recently. It’s clear that the majority of investors and traders are undecided. It soars a few percent over 2 days, then tanks a few percent over 2 days, then soars, then tanks…

We can see this uncertainty in the market’s breadth as well. The NYSE’s Up Volume indicates the number of stocks that went up today.

8 out of the past 11 trading days have seen Up Volume either above 80% (i.e. most stocks surging) or below 20% (i.e. most stocks going down). This is a rare medium term bullish sign for the stock market.

Saturday, April 07, 2018

As the Gold, Stocks, and Bond Markets Macro Turns… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began months ago, noting the 3 Amigos destined for their goals. Here’s a post from November 2017 explaining the macro fundamentals involved:

Updating the 3 Amigos of the Macro

1. Amigo #1 (SPX vs. Gold): Either reach major theoretical resistance (it’s a ratio, after all) or abort mission by establishing a downtrend.
2. Amigo #2 (10yr yield to 2.9% and 30yr yield to 3.3%): Destinations reached!
3. Amigo #3 (also known as the slower, dumber Amigo, the 10yr-2yr Yield Curve): Still on his journey, flattening. The trouble would be indicated by steepening.

Friday, April 06, 2018

Soccer World Cup: Will it help the Russian Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dimitri_Speck

Dear Investor,

You may be following sporting events as passionately as you follow market price trends. Or perhaps you’re not a sports fan, and you’re only interested in the stock market?

Either way, there is an exciting question about what effect big international sporting events have on share prices. The country that hosts Olympic Games or soccer World Cup draws huge media attention, the domestic mood improves, and big investment projects are carried out. All of this can affect the stock market.

Friday, April 06, 2018

Stock Market Update: S&P 495 Versus The Big 5 FANG Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

We have been marveling at the outperformance of the biggest five companies in the S&P 500 (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Facebook) for some time (see our May 5, 2017 Commentary, “The S&P 500 or The S&P 495?”).  Technology has almost single-handedly driven the equity market into an extraordinary bubble. Tech had been red hot since the January 2016 equity market correction. Tech was hot, but now it is not.

Enthusiasm for the mega cap tech stocks even provoked the creation of a new index, the NYSE FANG+ Index.  The equally-weighted index includes ten companies which the market has fallen in love with: Apple, Netflix, Google, NVIDIA, Amazon, Tesla, Baidu, Alibaba, Facebook, and Twitter. The chart below shows the FANG index relative to the Russell 3000. These ten stocks almost DOUBLED the broad market performance in two years time.