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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Has the Long-term Kress Cycle Bottomed Early? / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

A reader asks, "I was wondering if it's possible that the long cycles, such as the 60-year cycle, have already bottomed early. Is that even a possibility within the scope of the cycles? It appears that the Fed has complete control of the markets right now. One cannot help but wonder how high they will drive the stock market, and how low they will drive the gold miners. It would seem that the imbalances are beginning to look a little conspicuous."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Mon(k)ey Puzzle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: John_Mauldin

By Grant Williams  

Protruding from the sand a short distance to the south of the Pilot Pier, on the golden sands of Hartlepool in England's North East, is a vertical wooden mast.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Did the U.S. Government Shutdown Help the Economy? / Stock-Markets / US Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

From New Delhi to San Francisco to London, and finally back in San Antonio, I’ve been communicating one consistent theme to investors: Follow the money.

What’s really important in following the money is for investors to not get caught up in the negative web spun by the media. There’s a lot of drama these days about Obamacare and Washington dysfunction. Take the government shutdown in October, when the House and Senate fought over the debt ceiling. Economic data wasn’t released, services were halted, national parks were closed, and “non-essential” government workers were told to stay home.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Stock Market Decline Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

VIX has lifted above its 50-day moving average at 14.23 and its mid-Cycle support/resistance at 14.43. The sell signal is re-confirmed.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Stock Market Hindenburg Omen and the Titanic Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Ed_Carlson

With the reporting of a Hindenburg Omen last week, like Pavlov's dog I rushed to check my charts for evidence of the Titanic Syndrome. The creator of the indicator, Bill Ohama, wrote that after the Titanic Syndrome, all major averages/indices will drop at least 10% from their highs. The Syndrome warned of the October 19, 1987 stock market crash as well as others.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Why a Serious Stock Market Correction is Overdue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Mitchell Clark writes: There is going to be considerable pressure on interest rates and the Federal Reserve very soon, and it’s very likely that we’re going to get some choppy trading action in stocks. The reason for this is, of course, positive economic news, which is increasing the likelihood of a decrease in monetary stimulus. As contradictory as it may seem, good economic news is actually bad news for stocks; that’s just the way the counterintuitive system of the stock market works—buy on rumor, sell on news. But what’s transpired recently goes more like buy on expectations, sell on hints of growth.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Stock Market Flat...Still No Splat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Poor bears. Even at the final bell they had to watch the Dow go from -5 to plus 6. Meaningless, of course, but it seems like a slap in their face as the market just won't give the bears even a sliver of a good vibe. Each sector was up a drop, refusing to go red seemingly in spite of the bears. This is why we have the sentiment problem we're dealing with now for a few weeks. The bears just can't gain any traction, and, of course, the moment the market sells even just a little bit the sentiment seems to be a rousing here we go. It hasn't happened with the bears growing increasingly frustrated. I can't even imagine how bad it has been for these bears the past many months as overbought has stayed that way while sentiment is flashing an outright sell signal.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

How the Masters of the Financial Universe Use Derivatives for Fun and Profit / Stock-Markets / Derivatives

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Jon Stewart just did a very funny piece on “The Daily Show” about a new derivatives dust-up that Bloomberg news broke.

Earlier this year, a big Wall Street firm bought a credit default swap on debt that a private company owed to a third party. So the firm was set up to make money if that company missed any payments. Then the firm offered the company a multi-million-dollar loan… with the condition that they would miss a payment on the other loan. They did. And the Wall Street firm walked away with a $15 million insurance payment.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

QE Tapering or Tightening? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Matt_Machaj

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart delivered the news, responding to all speculation about the coming back issue of possible "tapering". Despite the chairman change for Ms. Yellen, the tapering issue did not taper out yet. Lockhart has told us that the Federal Reserve still plans to stay "accommodative" for the number of years to come. This does not mean though that some possible adjustment may not happen, because the "tools" of remaining "accommodative" may change. In other words, the message is: even if some things may change, remember, the Fed is always ready to starts its machine to help banks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 09, 2013

U.S. Fed Creating More Financial Market Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: John_Browne

Although the U.S. stock market continues to hit new nominal highs on a nearly daily basis, the U.S. economy bumps along at a lackluster pace. This disconnect has been achieved by a massive Fed experiment in monetary stimulation. Through the combination of seemingly endless maintenance of zero interest rates and the injection of some $1trillion a year of synthetic money into fixed-income markets, the Fed is hoping that the boom it is creating on Wall Street will lead to a boom on Main Street. In reality, this a very dangerous economic gamble of enormously high stakes. As we have seen in the recent past, financial bubbles can leave catastrophe in their wake.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 09, 2013

The Best and Worst Investment Strategies to Battle Coming Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: The S&P 500 may be entering bubble-like territory: that’s what I’ve been writing for the past few months.

Now, it appears as though I’m not the only one who’s worried about asset classes beginning to form bubbles from the excess money printing. 2013 Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller also recently stated that he is concerned that prices have risen far too quickly across many asset classes, from real estate to stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 09, 2013

Stock Market Rally Expanding the Distribution Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 09, 2013

Stocks Bear Market Bottoms, Gold Smart Money Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

In this business there is no greater buying opportunity than at a bear market bottom. For those few investors able to control emotions, delay gratification, and go against the crowd, a bear market bottom is where millionaires and billionaires are made.

Unfortunately for the vast majority of traders, emotions are much stronger than logic. Most people when they see a market that has gone up for five years automatically assume that it's going to continue to go up. And because everyone else is getting rich and they don't want to be left out, they jump on board too.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 09, 2013

Relentless Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

After making a new all time high last Friday the market traded lower all week. Then Friday’s Payrolls report was released and the market nearly managed to get back the entire loss in just one day. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.2%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.3%, and the DJ World index lost 0.9%. Economic reports for the week were overwhelmingly positive. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales, the ADP, new home sales, Q3 GDP, monthly Payrolls, personal spending, the PCE, consumer sentiment, consumer credit, the M1-multiplier, the monetary base, the WLEI; plus weekly jobless claims, the unemployment rate and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: ISM services, factory orders, personal income and investor sentiment. Next week we get a look at retail sales, inventories and the PPI. Best to your week.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 08, 2013

Stock Market Christmas Rally Starts Monday! - ETF Trading Strategies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Tis the Season for the most powerful seasonality trade of the year!

Seasonal ETF Trading StrategiesWith the stock market up big in 2013 and most participants are speculating on a pullback in the next week or two, I have to say I am on the other side of that bet. Being a technical trader I focus on patterns, statistics and probabilities to power my ETF trading strategies. So with 37 years of stats the seasonality chart of the S&P 500 index paints a clear picture of what is likely to happen in December.

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