Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, August 24, 2009

Financial Sector Distressed Issues Still To Be Dealt With / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Paul_J_Nolte

It’s getting better all the time or so says both the Beatles and the financial markets. The economic data regarding housing indicated that sales are picking up, however that is offset by the consumer data indicating that spending is not happening and jobs continue to be hard to secure. The housing (as well as car sales) data continue to be skewed by government bailout efforts. What makes the data more concerning for the long-term viability of any recovery that we may be in the middle of is much of the activity came from distressed sales, inventories of unsold homes still rose and home prices are still falling.

Monday, August 24, 2009

Why Elliott Wave Counters Can't Stop the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Michael_Swanson

Before I get into what we need to think about this week for the stock market I want you to go back to last weekend and imagine what you heard people saying on television about the stock market. Did you hear negative talk or positive talk?

What I heard was a lot of people talking about a big correction coming. People saying the economy is going to continue to slide, the stock market has gone up too much, and even some Elliott Wavers calling for a Fall stock market crash.

Monday, August 24, 2009

October is the Cruelest Month for Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Tarek_Saab

T.S. Eliot famously declared "April is the cruelest month" in his poem, The Wasteland. Apparently, Eliot was no stock investor. For those holding stocks, it is October which has been the cruelest month. October 1929. October 1987. October 2008 . . . Wasteland indeed.

Monday, August 24, 2009

U.S. Housing Market Bottoming, Stocks Soaring, is the Crisis Over? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: Our viewers said it was “fantastic.”

One said: “That was one of the most honest and informative pieces of information that I have received in a long time.”

Monday, August 24, 2009

New Stock Market Sell Signals on SPX and NDX / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Angelo_Campione

The market has been whipsawing lately and the system has now indicated a reduction on the short side.

Monday, August 24, 2009

Stock Market Trend is Definitely Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Angelo_Campione

Summary of Position For August
On July 20 we suggested a full position in an August 1020/1030 SPX Call Spread for a net credit of $0.60 on the basis that the market seemed to be getting ahead of itself and was due for a breather. We were proved wrong as the market continued higher and held its gains. Then, in the final week the market gave a decisive move, dropping 2.5% in a day, indicating that the top was in for the time being and that our position looked safe with over a 4% buffer. Even up to Thursday, it looked as though we would be fine, but Friday's burst higher meant that the settlement price on the options expiry was also higher. This is what's known as "settlement risk". We'll take it on the chin and move on.

Monday, August 24, 2009

Stock Market Acceleration Phase Towards Panic Buying / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Bill_West

Trade Actions:

Buy INP (India) at 52 or Better

Monday, August 24, 2009

Potential Potholes in Economic Recovery, Gold Patience Required Ahead of Seasonally Strong Period / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo

Economy - Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer had some interesting comments at the annual symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that addressed some of the potential potholes on the road to recovery:

"Growth does appear to be beginning to resume. Much remains to be done, not least in bringing banking systems back to health, and there are good - though not conclusive - reasons to fear a sub-standard recovery."

Monday, August 24, 2009

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Crushes Bears Hopes (Again) as U.S. Dollar Weakens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This article seeks to update the recent stocks stealth market and U.S. Dollar bull market analysis.

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Crushes Bears Hopes (Again).

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Stock Market Bullish Stampede Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Joseph_Russo

Buy the DIPS or just HOLD 
For those adopting such strategy, we suggest using one hand to hold your nose, and keep your free hand at the ready in pulling the sell-trigger when appropriate.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Fractal Encouragement / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Adam_Brochert

It's gotten mighty lonely in the bear camp and the bulls have certainly had their way with the bears since the March 2009 lows. It has been a rally for the ages and the subsequent pending drop will also have this distinction. In looking through a long-term chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, I found an encouraging fractal pattern for the current bear market rally. Markets don't repeat precisely, but they do rhyme.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Current Stock Option Trading Ideas / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: Jay_DeVincentis

Liquidity Rush

We have options in DIA, GLD, MSFT, QQQQ, XRAY and 8 more designed to double your money with less than a 9% move in the underlying.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Stock Markets Resumed their Five Month Uptrend Part2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Financial Times: Corporate bond defaults hit record “The number of companies defaulting on their debts has risen to record levels this year, according to Standard & Poor’s, while investment returns for risky corporate debt have skyrocketed since January.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Stock Markets Resumed their Five Month Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

After starting the week with a broad-based sell-off, stock markets resumed their five-month uptrend as investors’ confidence in the recovery prospects of the global economy gained traction. With risky assets back in favor, a number of bourses and crude oil closed at fresh highs for the year, showing resilience in the face of a sharp correction in China on Monday (-5.8%) and Wednesday (-4.3%). Safe-haven assets such as government bonds and the US dollar received a cold shoulder.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Strong Stock Market Uptrend Continues...Testing the 70 Week MA on the S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Solid advance off our March lows continued this week, but the market did hesitate some late week at our important 1026 70 MA on the S&P 500 (see our 1st chart below) and 2-year downtrendline on the Nasdaq which finally cleared late.  While we did close a few points over 2015, the close at SPX 1026 means the 70 week moving average hasn't been broken by the bulls just yet. That's the big one. If we can get the SPX well above 1026 and the Nasdaq well above 2015 then we can say with more certainty that things look even more positive for the bulls. I know it feels that way and you all know I am bullish but being bullish doesn't mean being inappropriate. You just don't go out and buy bigger because we're so close.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rally, I Have Said It All! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Guy_Lerner

Ok, I have said enough. I have said it all. There is nothing else to say. To spare you the trouble of having to waste your time reading and to spare me the embarrassment, there will be no comments this week. Just graphs. As expected, the sentiment picture has changed little from last week. Go bulls!!!

Sunday, August 23, 2009

The Power of the 10-year Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

Here we are again approaching another 10-year cycle peak. The last such peak was in 1999 while the most recent 10-year cycle bottom was in 2004. We wrote extensively on both episodes at the time and the 10-year cycle is one of our favorites. It’s what I like to call the “slam dunk” cycle since among all the yearly Kress cycles, the 10-year cycle at its peak and bottom phase can almost always be used for profitable trading/investing almost by itself.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Secular Stock Bear Markets and the Statistical Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Mauldin

The Statistical Recovery, Part Three
Capacity Utilization Set to Rise
A Real Estate Green Shoot?
The Deleveraging Society
Some Thoughts on Secular Bear Markets

This week we further explore why this recovery will be a Statistical Recovery, or one that, as someone said, is a recovery only a statistician could love. We look at capacity utilization, more on housing, some thoughts on debt and deflation, and some intriguing charts on volatility in the last secular bear-market cycle. This letter will print a little longer, but there are lots of charts. I have written this during the week, and I finish it here in Tulsa, where Amanda gets married tomorrow. (There is no deflation in weddings costs!)

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Peaking Risk Appetite Reversal Sends Crude Oil and Stock Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Ashraf_Laidi

VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal - Just when we started highlighting the case for peaking risk appetite in last week's article, oil prices picked up the mantle for the bulls and triggered the sell USD, buy risk trade, partly caused by a plunge in weekly crude oil inventories.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Financial Hurricane, Stock Markets Being Hit by a Storm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Lynn_T

The beginning of the week certainly looked like the rally was over and it was time to abandon ship. Two of my indicators were in the life rafts and starting to lower their way down to the water. Then the end of the week came and the storm seemed to dissipate. The waves have lessened and all seems back to normal as we continue the sideways action/rally.