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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, October 07, 2013

Is the Next Stocks Bear Market About to Begin? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor

The stock market is finally starting to show signs that the bull market may be coming to an end. Before I go into the stock market though, I want to discuss the dollar because I think currencies are going to be integrally tied to the topping process.

For the better part of the past five years a lower dollar has generally been positive for the stock market. However, we are now five years into QE and I think we are at the point where it's important that the dollar hold its value. At this point I think the stock market is deathly afraid that the dollar is going to crack under five years of continual debasement. As many of you have probably noticed over the last several weeks stocks have been dropping along with the dollar.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 07, 2013

Stock Market Correction Still Underway, Next Uptrend Bull Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX made an intermediate high at 1730 and is now in a corrective mode.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 06, 2013

Stock Markets Negative Skew and Nikkei Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Six of the eight indexes on my world watch list posted declines for the week, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 plunging 4.98%. India’s SENSEX was the top performer, up 0.98%, with the China’s Shanghai Composite up 0.68% based on a single day of trading because of the National Day market holidays, which extend through October 7th. Despite the US government shutdown, the S&P 500 suffered the least decline, a fractional 0.7%, with the other world four markets slipping between 0.30% and 0.90%.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 06, 2013

Stock Market Set Up of a Lifetime? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

Since my last article things have changed a little and I have had to adjust ideas.

Making the new all time high at 1730SPX things have started to clear up, although I was initially looking for a move back to 1530-1500SPX before a resumption higher towards 1750SPX. It seems this market wants to get to its intended target quicker than I figured.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 06, 2013

Stock Market Trifurcation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

While the stock market acted like business as usual: the SPX opened the week at 1692 and ended at 1691. The US government shut down on Tuesday due to lack of a budget, and a potential default looms as the debt limit is less than two weeks away. The political circus – democrats v republicans – continue to push for next year’s election talking points, while holding the American public and the economy hostage. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World index was -0.4%. On the economic front negative reports outpaced positive ones for the first time in quite a while. On the uptick: the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing and Investors turned more positive. On the downtick: the ADP index, ISM services, the Monetary base, the WLEI and weekly Jobless claims rose. Next week we may, or may not, get reports on Retail sales, Consumer sentiment and the FOMC minutes. Best to your week.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 05, 2013

Stock Market Ready to Breakdown - Ready for Fireworks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

After an 82.4% retracement, SPX appears ready to break down. Part of the motivation for the big ramp today appears to be the fear of a negative week in equities going into the weekend. We’ll see if the subsequent decline puts a dent in this goal or not.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 04, 2013

The Ultimate Layer of Financial Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Don_Miller

Recently I spoke with the always-insightful Dennis Miller about the critical importance of internationalizing your retirement savings. It's an uncomfortable fact of life that governments that are desperate for cash inevitably find ways to siphon off the purchasing power of their citizen's retirement savings. Poland, which recently partially nationalized private retirement savings, is just the latest example of this disturbing trend, one that will likely spread to other countries that are in fiscal trouble.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 04, 2013

The Big Reason Why 2013 Stock Prices Are in the Stratosphere / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: EWI

Margin debt is up 100 times in the last 39 years

A famous quote attributed to Archimedes, the ancient Greek mathematician, is: "Give me a place to stand and with a lever I will move the whole world." And, as you probably know, leverage can also move the stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 04, 2013

Stock Market 2013 an Exact Repeat of 1954? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Wow!

In the first nine months of this year, the S&P 500 has run up 18%—that’s about two percent per month. Other key stock indices have provided similar returns. At this pace, by the end of 2013, the S&P 500 will be up 24% for the year.

As my doubts about the performance of key stock indices continue to mount, some in the mainstream are saying the market will only go higher.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 04, 2013

Stock Market Support Lost at 50 Day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The 50-day moving average has lost its ability to support the SPX and it may be possible that the Intermediate-term support is also ineffective. The cash equivalent in the overnight futures is already at 1674.60. We may see a gap down beneath that level in the morning.

A larger Broadening Wedge trendline show up at 1670.00, but it is too large to show on the already busy hourly chart. I may be switching to a daily chart to follow the goings-on in the SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 04, 2013

Stock Market Ninth Decline in Eleven Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Today the S&P 500 marked the third day of government shutdown with its most volatile session since its all-time closing high on September 18th. My volatility metric is the percent change from intraday low to intraday high. That September 18 record close had an intraday range of 1.71%, largely reflecting the market’s reaction to the FOMC no-taper decision. The index then declined for nine of the following eleven sessions. Today’s intraday range of 1.32% ranks at the 88th percentile of the 191 market days of 2013. The 500 opened at its -0.09% intraday high and sold off to its -1.39% noon-hour low. During the afternoon the index cut its loss approximately in half and traded in a narrow range, save for brief dip around 2:20 PM when shots were fired at the capitol. A slight fade in the final minutes logged a 0.90% loss for the day.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 03, 2013

Bad News and the October Stock Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

In recent commentaries we’ve discussed the likelihood of a broad market correction due to a series of divergences among the major averages. The divergence between the Dow and the NASDAQ, for instance, suggests insider distribution. Not surprisingly, insider transactions show that corporate insiders have done more selling of their company’s stock than at any time in several months.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 03, 2013

Forecast Psychology & Rebuttal to Gary North / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Jim_Willie_CB

A rebuttal is warranted. The entire analytic discussion, defense of viewpoints, exposure of corrupted markets, and intriguing human psychology regarding forecasts is covered. It might be enlightening to many folks. It might be entertaining to some. It might be tawdry to a few. Gary North sounds more like a mainstream financial apologist than a sound money advocate. His days at the Lew Rockwell Institute are over. He seems a confused man with a limited comprehension of either the financial system or market developments, who has offered a shallow dispute of the Jackass recent perspective on the USTreasury Bond market. Given his extremely unimpressive analytic ability and dim vision, with a certain blindness extended from a certain perceptual inversion, he will be referred to henceforth as Mr South. Nothing personal, just hard to respect incredibly shallow attacks with no solicitation, surely without recognition of my past correct forecast trail. South is surely a good man, just not a good analyst. His recent essay featuring the Flash Trading and other USTreasury Bond factors was an unsolicited disgraceful assault with hardly a single point of valid substance. It was an extremely unimpressive display.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 03, 2013

Stock Physics: How Newton’s Third Law of Motion Applies to the Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Don_Miller

From a ball bouncing up off the floor to an earthquake triggering a tsunami, Newton's third law of motion tells us a lot about how the world works. Most of us can recite the abridged version of the law by heart: Every action has an equal and opposite reaction.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 03, 2013

Washington Awful... Stock Market Sending Bigger Message?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

I'm personally wondering if the market is sending a bigger message than just Washington these days. Why? Because the weekly S&P 500 chart has a triple-negative divergence, and the deeper message may be that it's time for a prolonged nasty period here. My thinking is this. If you study a stock like American Express Company (AXP) you get some insight. This stock found itself with a hollow candle three days back right on the 50-day exponential moving average. It followed the way it should with an up day yesterday. MACD was turning up, which is appropriate. Today, no follow through. In fact, a hard nasty fall with a full candle below the 50's. Not bull-market behavior. It doesn't mean a bear market either.

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