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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Double Top In Transportation and Metals Breakout Are Key Stock Market Topping Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers identified this critical Double-Top pattern in the Transportation Index after a very strong price rally on Friday, July 12.  Double-Top patterns are very important in terms of Fibonacci price structure because they reflect a complete price rejection at a certain price level.  In this case, the TRAN Double Top level is $10,655 and our research team believes weakness at this level will push a downward price swing which should attempt to break through the $10,250 level and possibly attempt to move much lower.

The Transportation Index reflects future expectations for shipping of goods and raw materials across the US and, of course, is somewhat related to global economic activity.  If the Transportation Index falls in price, then future expectations are for weaker economic activity.  If it rises, then investors expect the economy to continue to strengthen.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, July 18, 2019

AI Machine Learning PC Custom Build Specs for £2,500 - Scan Computers 3SX / Personal_Finance / AI

By: HGR

My existing primary desktop PC that I had custom built by Scan Computers at a cost £2400 is now nearly 5 years o;d, where something with a similar spec would still cost at least £1000 today so whilst it still has some life left in it. Nevertheless it is time for my next generation custom built PC to cover computing for the next 4-5 years for both for continued use in data analysis, video and graphics work where my existing machine is not upto handling 4k footage properly. That and my latest analysis project of building a deep learning environment under microsoft windows via utilisation of Google's tensor flow, python and other libraries and toolkits such as by Nvidia, so the starting point for my build is for at least one good Nvidia graphics card with a large number of cuda cores, over 2000, that are basically 2000 mini cpu's.

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Companies

Thursday, July 18, 2019

The Best “Pick-and-Shovel” Play for the Online Grocery Boom / Companies / Retail Sector

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler :Everyone knows online shopping revolutionized how we buy clothing, electronics, and other merchandise.

Many malls across the country have closed their doors because people simply don’t shop at malls like they once did. Instead they buy things online. After a few days, the things show up at their doorstep.

The media nicknamed this phenomenon the “Retail Apocalypse.” And it has led to…

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Is the Stock Market Rally Floating on Thin Air? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market went nowhere today. Today’s headlines:

  1. S&P internal weakness
  2. Low volume vs. high volume rallies
  3. Short term, medium term, and long term trend
  4. Mean reversion
  5. Consumer discretionary on fire

Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day.

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Companies

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Biotech Stocks With Near Term Catalysts / Companies / BioTech

By: Joshua_Rodriguez

Medical innovation is an incredible thing. In fact, as we continue to better understand the human body and cutting-edge biotechnology companies continue to produce innovative medicines, the average life expectancy in human beings is growing at a rate of about two months every year.

Not only is this innovation in medicine leading to a better quality of life and longer lifespan for countless patients, it is also leading strong investment opportunities. Driven by the fact that there are multiple catalysts along the process of drug development and incredible value once new drugs are approved, investor interest in the field of biotechnology is running high.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 18, 2019

SPX Consolidating, GBP and CAD Could be in Focus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

SPX may now be consolidating at 3000 levels for some time. If the market does not selloff aggressively at these levels, then we will melt higher.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

UK House Building and Population Growth Analysis / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Part1 (UK House Building 20 Years Shortfall). The below graph shows the UK annual population change against annual new housing build completions accompanied by annual net migration.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Financial Crisis Stocks Bear Market Is Scary Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone knows something bad is brewing not just in tnhe USA but globally within the financial systems. Most countries are bankrupt, and almost all currencies have been losing value for the past year. Everyone is playing the game of musical chairs and getting creative with how they borrow, lend, create, and steal money in hopes the world does not catch on to just how corrupt and bad things really are.  

It’s just a matter of time before we see another financial market meltdown and what I show you here today gives you an idea of just how close we could be to a market collapse. 

The financial markets rarely repeat the same type of crisis, but most crisis’ cause the stock market to sell off and crash in the same way. Human nature and emotions do not change, and because traders and investors drive the price action of stocks we are able to profit from bear markets.  

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Economics

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Want to See What's Next for the US Economy? Try This. / Economics / US Economy

By: EWI

Don't listen to the naysayers -- there IS a way to forecast the general health of the economy. This method has repeatedly proven itself.

Yes, you can anticipate the likelihood of a recession, even a depression -- or, conversely, when major economic measures -- like jobs -- will be robust.

That surefire way is the performance of the stock market.

That's right, despite the widespread belief that the economy drives the stock market, it's the stock market which leads the economy. Why not the other way around? Because the economy is a slow boat.

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

What to do if You Blow the Trading Account / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Trading is one of the most lucrative professions in today’s world. Every day the number of an active currency trader is rising at an exponential rate. But still, the success rate is pretty low. The new traders in the United Kingdom don’t even know the associated risks involved in currency trading business. They simply fund their trading account and start trading the market with an average class broker. Eventually, they blow up their trading account and make their financial condition much worse.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Bitcoin Is Far Too Risky for Most Investors / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Robert_Ross

Bitcoin is a polarizing topic. Some economists think Bitcoin’s value should be $0. Others think it’s as revolutionary as the internet.

But one thing is certain: The price of Bitcoin is incredibly volatileThis makes it a non-starter for most income investors.

Fortunately, I’ve zeroed in on a company that actually benefits from Bitcoin’s volatility. It’s a safe and stable way to profit from Bitcoin without exposing yourself to a lot of risk.

But first, let’s take a closer look at Bitcoin’s wild price swings…

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Core Inflation Rises but Fed Is Going to Cut Rates. Will Gold Gain? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The combination doesn’t feel right. Actually, something stinks – just what is it exactly? Payrolls were strong, while core inflation rose. Nevertheless, the Fed signaled it’s going to cut interest rate. Our shiny yellow friend, can you help us make sense of it all?

Is Really Inflation Muted? Core CPI Rises

The CPI rose 0.1 percent in June, by the same amount as in May, the government said on Thursday. However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, jumped 0.3 percent following a previous increase of 0.1 percent. So, the core rate scored the biggest gain in a year and a half, which suggests that the Fed’s fears about tame inflation might be exaggerated.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Federal Debt Ceiling Reached as Federal Spending Rages / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

The federal government will soon run up against its self-imposed borrowing cap once again.

Current estimates are for the government to max out its credit limit at a little over $22 trillion in early September. Congress goes on recess in August, so there is some pressure to address the cap right now.

Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has been fulfilling what seems to be the most sacred responsibility of his position: borrowing money. It’s one that each of his predecessors has also undertaken, without fail and without regard to party affiliation, in recent decades.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Boost your Trading Results - FREE eBook / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

....

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

This Needs To Happen Before Silver Really Takes Off / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Hubert_Moolman

Significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow as well as Dow/Gold ratio peaks. This has been the case for the last 90 years at least. This is mainly due to the special relationship between silver, the stock markets and debt.

These stock market rallies are driven by the expansion of the money supply (debt), causing a big increase in the value of paper assets (including stocks) relative to real assets. When the increase in credit or the money supply has run its course, and is unable to drive paper prices higher; value then flees from paper assets to safe assets such as physical gold and silver, causing massive price increase.

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Companies

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

NASDAQ Should Reach 8031 Before Topping / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

With earnings data starting to hit the markets and recent news that China’s economic activity levels shrank to levels not seen in nearly 30 years, we believe our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is showing us a target level in the NASDAQ (NQ) that will likely be reached within the next 7 to 10 days.  We believe once this target level is reached, the US stock market will immediately begin an extended topping formation with sideways price action and increased volatility) which will culminate in our August 19, 2019 setup date for a much deeper price correction.

At this time, traders should start to prepare for this topping event and prepare for price resistance to be found as the NQ nears this 8031 level – only 60 pts away.  If you are sitting on a bunch of profitable long trades, our suggestion would be to scale back 50% to 60% of these open positions and prepare for a top setup to begin within 7 to 10 days.  The volatility we expect to see over the next 30 days will likely be 2x or 3x current levels.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Elliott Wave Analysis of DUST (Gold Miners Bear 3x Shares ETF) / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: WavePatternTraders

The strong decline over the last few weeks appears to argue for an impulse wave, I suspect it's close to ending a 3rd wave, so an up-down sequence is still favored before it completes 5 waves from the May 2019 high.

I favor its very close to seeing a bounce for wave [iv], although I am still expecting to see further weakness for wave [v] thereafter once wave [iv] ends, however, I do think a new high on the GDX needs to be watched, as it too can end wave [iii] of an impulse wave, although in the opposite direction.
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Politics

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

This Economy Left Millions of Americans Behind / Politics / Social Issues

By: Patrick_Watson

Remember “No Child Left Behind,” George W. Bush’s education reform plan? Congress passed it in 2001.

Whether that law actually helped is subject to debate, but Bush picked a good name for it. Humans are social creatures. Our instincts tell us to make sure no one in our tribe gets “left behind,” economically or otherwise.

That instinct breaks down sometimes. Or we disagree about who belongs in our tribe. It’s a big problem in either case.

Hence, when people say even the poorest Americans live better than their grandparents did, or better than those in other countries, they miss the point.

Past generations and people overseas are the wrong comparison. We get angry when our own group leaves us behind.
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Housing-Market

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the latest analysis in my US housing market analysis that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast that covers the following in bold

  • Current State
  • Momentum Analysis
  • US ECONOMY - GDP
  • Unemployment
  • Inflation
  • Producer Prices Index
  • Yield Curve
  • US Debt
  • QE4EVER!
  • DEMOGRAPHICS
  • US Home Builders Index (XHB)
  • US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
  • US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Peering into the Mists of Time
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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Could Trump Really Win the 2020 US Presidential Election? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Harry_Dent

I hate politics. I hate that it’s inescapable. What I don’t hate is the investment opportunities the 2020 election will present us.

So I hate, and then embrace…

And with the 2020 election fast approaching, we face a major tipping point… economically, politically, historically.

That means NOW is the time to prepare to protect your business endeavors and investments.

NOW is the time to position to profit.
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