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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Bitcoin Is Far Too Risky for Most Investors / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Robert_Ross

Bitcoin is a polarizing topic. Some economists think Bitcoin’s value should be $0. Others think it’s as revolutionary as the internet.

But one thing is certain: The price of Bitcoin is incredibly volatileThis makes it a non-starter for most income investors.

Fortunately, I’ve zeroed in on a company that actually benefits from Bitcoin’s volatility. It’s a safe and stable way to profit from Bitcoin without exposing yourself to a lot of risk.

But first, let’s take a closer look at Bitcoin’s wild price swings…

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Core Inflation Rises but Fed Is Going to Cut Rates. Will Gold Gain? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The combination doesn’t feel right. Actually, something stinks – just what is it exactly? Payrolls were strong, while core inflation rose. Nevertheless, the Fed signaled it’s going to cut interest rate. Our shiny yellow friend, can you help us make sense of it all?

Is Really Inflation Muted? Core CPI Rises

The CPI rose 0.1 percent in June, by the same amount as in May, the government said on Thursday. However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, jumped 0.3 percent following a previous increase of 0.1 percent. So, the core rate scored the biggest gain in a year and a half, which suggests that the Fed’s fears about tame inflation might be exaggerated.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Federal Debt Ceiling Reached as Federal Spending Rages / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MoneyMetals

The federal government will soon run up against its self-imposed borrowing cap once again.

Current estimates are for the government to max out its credit limit at a little over $22 trillion in early September. Congress goes on recess in August, so there is some pressure to address the cap right now.

Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has been fulfilling what seems to be the most sacred responsibility of his position: borrowing money. It’s one that each of his predecessors has also undertaken, without fail and without regard to party affiliation, in recent decades.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Boost your Trading Results - FREE eBook / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

This Needs To Happen Before Silver Really Takes Off / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Hubert_Moolman

Significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow as well as Dow/Gold ratio peaks. This has been the case for the last 90 years at least. This is mainly due to the special relationship between silver, the stock markets and debt.

These stock market rallies are driven by the expansion of the money supply (debt), causing a big increase in the value of paper assets (including stocks) relative to real assets. When the increase in credit or the money supply has run its course, and is unable to drive paper prices higher; value then flees from paper assets to safe assets such as physical gold and silver, causing massive price increase.

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Companies

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

NASDAQ Should Reach 8031 Before Topping / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

With earnings data starting to hit the markets and recent news that China’s economic activity levels shrank to levels not seen in nearly 30 years, we believe our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is showing us a target level in the NASDAQ (NQ) that will likely be reached within the next 7 to 10 days.  We believe once this target level is reached, the US stock market will immediately begin an extended topping formation with sideways price action and increased volatility) which will culminate in our August 19, 2019 setup date for a much deeper price correction.

At this time, traders should start to prepare for this topping event and prepare for price resistance to be found as the NQ nears this 8031 level – only 60 pts away.  If you are sitting on a bunch of profitable long trades, our suggestion would be to scale back 50% to 60% of these open positions and prepare for a top setup to begin within 7 to 10 days.  The volatility we expect to see over the next 30 days will likely be 2x or 3x current levels.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Elliott Wave Analysis of DUST (Gold Miners Bear 3x Shares ETF) / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: WavePatternTraders

The strong decline over the last few weeks appears to argue for an impulse wave, I suspect it's close to ending a 3rd wave, so an up-down sequence is still favored before it completes 5 waves from the May 2019 high.

I favor its very close to seeing a bounce for wave [iv], although I am still expecting to see further weakness for wave [v] thereafter once wave [iv] ends, however, I do think a new high on the GDX needs to be watched, as it too can end wave [iii] of an impulse wave, although in the opposite direction.
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Politics

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

This Economy Left Millions of Americans Behind / Politics / Social Issues

By: Patrick_Watson

Remember “No Child Left Behind,” George W. Bush’s education reform plan? Congress passed it in 2001.

Whether that law actually helped is subject to debate, but Bush picked a good name for it. Humans are social creatures. Our instincts tell us to make sure no one in our tribe gets “left behind,” economically or otherwise.

That instinct breaks down sometimes. Or we disagree about who belongs in our tribe. It’s a big problem in either case.

Hence, when people say even the poorest Americans live better than their grandparents did, or better than those in other countries, they miss the point.

Past generations and people overseas are the wrong comparison. We get angry when our own group leaves us behind.
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Housing-Market

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the latest analysis in my US housing market analysis that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast that covers the following in bold

  • Current State
  • Momentum Analysis
  • US ECONOMY - GDP
  • Unemployment
  • Inflation
  • Producer Prices Index
  • Yield Curve
  • US Debt
  • QE4EVER!
  • DEMOGRAPHICS
  • US Home Builders Index (XHB)
  • US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
  • US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Peering into the Mists of Time
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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Could Trump Really Win the 2020 US Presidential Election? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Harry_Dent

I hate politics. I hate that it’s inescapable. What I don’t hate is the investment opportunities the 2020 election will present us.

So I hate, and then embrace…

And with the 2020 election fast approaching, we face a major tipping point… economically, politically, historically.

That means NOW is the time to prepare to protect your business endeavors and investments.

NOW is the time to position to profit.
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Politics

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

What Would Happen If Venezuela & the Middle East Couldn’t Access Oil? / Politics / Crude Oil

By: Rodney_Johnson

We’re hyper-focused on politics at the moment because, well, Trump. If he weren’t the president, with unshakeable support from one faction while inducing loathing from another, then the 2020 election cycle might be a touch less fanatical. But he is the president, and we’ve got Democratic hopefuls pummeling each other as they move to the left, promising many nw programs with questionable funding sources.

It’s as if the laws of supply and demand have been suspended.

Maybe they have when it comes to politics, but back in the real world, supply and demand do matter. And this cold reality could put the energy market in the deep freeze over the next 12 months.

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Politics

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Strong Dollar is good for Small Businesses / Politics / US Dollar

By: BATR

The Trump economy has provided a much needed optimism. While confidence for the future has grown over the meager performance under Obama, the fabric of prosperity has not yet achieved universal reach. Remember that an America First economy thrives on a strong dollar. So it is unfortunate that the establishment is pushing President Trump into favoring an internationalist trading system that hinders a domestic small business economy. The corporatists on Wall Street hate independent business.

In order to combat the export of American jobs, much higher tariffs should be imposed. Raising the value of the U.S. Dollar (Federal Reserve notes) would put an end to the oversea search for the cheapest labor regime. International trade that diminishes domestic output has been the primary cause of destroying our national autonomy. For those who are in denial, admitting this fact is a major threat to their cartel of global interdependency.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Gold Stocks Forming Bullish Consolidation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold stocks especially continue to shrug off bits and pieces of bad news.

No escalation in the trade war? The selloff lasted one day and the sector rebounded strongly the following day.

Strong headline jobs number? Again, the weakness was a buying opportunity.

This past week there was more.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Will Fed Easing Turn Out Like 1995 or 2007? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Michael_Pento

You should completely understand that the market is dangerously overvalued and that global economic growth has slowed to a crawl along with S&P 500 earnings. However, you must also be wondering when the massive overhang of unprecedented debt levels, artificial market manipulations, and the anemic economy will finally shock Wall Street to a brutal reality.

Artificially-low bond yields are prolonging the life of this terminally-ill market. In fact, record-low borrowing costs have been the lynchpin for perpetuating the illusion. Therefore, what will finally pull the plug on this market’s life support system is spiking corporate bond yields, which will manifest from the bursting of the $5.4 trillion BBB, Junk bond and leveraged loan markets. And, for that to occur, you will first need an outright US recession and/or a bonafide inflation scare.

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Companies

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Red Rock Entertainment Investments: Around the world in a day with Supreme Jets / Companies / Investing 2019

By: Sumeet_Manhas

You may have seen the film Around the World in 80 Days, but what about going around the world yourself in just one day? It is something that you are going to be able to do in the very near future thanks to SAMAD Aerospace and Supreme Jets, which is a private charter jet business. Both companies have signed an agreement to create a service that is going to give private jet customers the ability to use hybrid-electric jets to enjoy a door-to-door worldwide air travel service. And the best news is that this is going to be available in just five years! Read on to discover more about this Supreme jets review.

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Commodities

Monday, July 15, 2019

Silver Has Already Gone from Weak to Strong Hands / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up our good friend David Smith of The Morgan Report and MoneyMetals.com columnist joins me for a wonderful discussion on the state of the precious metals, an exciting new silver backed cryptocurrency and when he believes silver will finally play catch up to gold’s rally. So be sure you stick around for my conversation with David Smith, coming up after this week’s market update.

As Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell testified before Congress this week, investors became more confident that they will soon see interest rate cuts. The Dow Jones Industrials traded up to a new record high while commodities and precious metals also gained strength on Powell’s dovish comments.

Gold prices currently trade at $1,408 an ounce, up 0.6% since last Friday’s close. Silver is up 0.7% this week and currently settles at $15.18. Platinum is putting in a weekly gain of 1.7% to check in at $827. And finally, palladium is off slightly from record highs put in earlier in the week. It trades at $1,547 per ounce, down 1.5% now for the week as of this Friday morning recording.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Top Equity Mutual Funds That Offer Best Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Ruchi_Mahajan

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Commodities

Monday, July 15, 2019

Gold’s Breakout And The US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Kelsey_Williams

If you are bullish on gold prices right now, you are running with the crowd. That is perfectly fine, unless the crowd is running in the wrong direction. Or, maybe the race hasn’t started yet.

With all of the talk about fundamentals for gold, it would be nice if someone could set their emotions aside and look at some facts that might bring some clarity to the subject.

Nearly every recent article about gold includes some reference to one or more of the following items: interest rates, trade wars, Indian gold demand, slowing economy, recession fears, the stock market, housing starts, another world war, terrorism, social unrest, etc., etc.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

Financial Markets, Iran, U.S. Global Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Raymond_Matison

Are you still in the market?  Markets for equities and bonds have been struggling over the last one and a half years.  Few real gains have been made – and it has taken an important policy reversal by the FED just to keep the markets levitated at current levels.  Neither earnings reports nor financial statistics seem to matter; charts have not mattered; the state of our domestic economy does not seem to matter either, as global trade, tariffs and sanctions are ignored in market valuations which remain scandalously unrealistic.  Negative earnings guidance is at record levels, but that too does not matter.  Both market fundamentals and charts continue to be completely ignored.  Every money manager simply follows announced guidance action of the Federal Reserve, and evaluates their statements to the point of analyzing missing or modified words from previous FED press releases.

During the Cold War, its belligerents developed a theory and practice to deal with the very real risk of a nuclear conflagration.  The resulting adopted strategy was called Mutually Assured Destruction, or MAD.  The operating theory was that neither nuclear power, Russia nor the United States, would initiate a nuclear attack while remaining vulnerable, because of the presumption of a vigorous response in kind, destroying both countries and perhaps making life impossible on the whole planet from radiation fallout.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 15, 2019

U.S Bond Yields Point to a 40% Rise in SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Donald_W_Dony

Over the last 10 years, the yields on the benchmark U.S. 10 year Treasury bond have foretold the path of the S&P 500.

Money flow trends between the bond market and the equity market, over the past decade, have given investors a heads-up on the trading direction of the S&P 500.

The swings toward fixed income (2011 to mid-2012, 2014 to mid-2016, Q4 2018 to mid-2019) have produced higher bond prices and lower yields as money managers balance safety and risk.

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