Friday, April 08, 2016
Oor 'Lawnmower' Economy - Financiers Skim Profits While Main Street Stagnates / Economics / US Economy
By: Gordon_T_Long
Charles Hugh Smith and Gordon T Long share their thinking on why the middle class in America has been experiencing a steady decline in their real standard of living over the last four decades and why the decline has recently accelerated. Their is a fundamental reason why productivity is falling while corporate profits soar and the employment participation rates falls.
Friday, April 08, 2016
Making the Most of Your Personal Freedom and Financial Opportunity Around the World / Personal_Finance / Investing 2016
By: Casey_Research
(Editor’s Note: This is Doug Casey’s foreword to Casey Research’s Handbook for Surviving the Coming Financial Crisis.)
Right now, we are exiting the eye of the giant financial hurricane that we entered in 2007, and we’re going into its trailing edge.
It’s going to be much more severe, different, and longer lasting than what we saw in 2008 and 2009.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
Gold Sector: Macrocosm Updated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
We do in depth analysis on a weekly basis (and every day in-week) because there is no substitute for working to be right with the market's evolving situation as opposed to making bias or ego stoked calls in hopes of being right.
The current situation has seen some calling 'bullish' on the stock market despite a still intact bear trend (noted repeatedly in NFTRH ), people going bullish on commodities despite their "bounce only" (also noted repeatedly) status in the absence of real, market-based inflation signals (which I do think are coming soon) and global markets bouncing within bear trends of varying degrees.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
Do ETFs' Flows Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
What are ETFs? The ETFs, or Exchange-Traded Funds, are funds that track indices, commodities or securities. The ETF shares are securities that closely resemble the yield and return of its native index, but - unlike mutual funds units - can be traded just like common stocks. The gold ETFs are a special type of ETFs that track the price of gold. The ETFs are backed by physical bullion (or gold derivative contracts), but investors do not own any gold and they cannot even redeem their shares in gold (only authorized participants can do that, thus private investors liquidate their holdings by selling their ETF shares on the open market). The two largest gold ETFs by assets are the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and the iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU).
Friday, April 08, 2016
UK Housing Market Panic Buying Accelerates House Price Inflation to Over 10% Per Annum / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Barely a few weeks on from when Britain's housing market bears were starting to reappear on the scene in the mainstream press with perma doomsday headlines that followed Februarys 1.5% plunge and on the back of news of a fast slowing UK economy. Now out pops the Halifax with its latest data that show average UK house prices have once more accelerated to above 10% per annum! By galloping ahead by a whopping 2.6% for March near double Februarys 1.5% drop, and despite Februarys drop are up by 2.9% so far thus year which converts into an annual inflation rate of 11.6%.
Friday, April 08, 2016
No. 1 One Reason To Buy Gold and Silver Is “Cyber Financial Warfare” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: GoldCore
The number one reason to buy gold bullion given the new risks in the 21st century digital age is “cyber financial warfare,” Jim Rickards, Chief Global Strategist at West Shore Funds told “Bloomberg Markets.”
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Friday, April 08, 2016
Stock Market Negative Down Day with Potential to go Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a negative session today. The day started out with a breakdown, they gapped lower, bounced off support, but shortly took out support at 4510 Nasdaq 100 and 2054 area S&P 500. During the rest of the session they came down in the morning, bottomed, and then tried to rally the rest of the day, but held at resistance and went lower. In a decidedly-negative down channel, the indices closed off the session lows, bounced in the last hour, but it looked more like a bear flag than anything else.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
Goldman Sach's Dubious Advice 'Short Gold!' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
Those betting against Goldman Sach's retail investment advice have generally been on the right side of things.
The same thing is about to happen again.
"Short gold! Sell gold!" said Goldman's head commodity trader, Jeff Currie, during a CNBC "Power Lunch" interview.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
Lumber Commodity Price Limbers Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Austin_Galt
The lumber price has traded pretty much exactly as outlined in analysis, titled Lumber Lambasted and Lumber Looking Lousy, produced in May 2015 and September 2015 respectively.
I expect price to continue to trade as outlined in those analyses but it doesn't hurt to update the picture so let's do just that beginning with the monthly chart.
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Friday, April 08, 2016
US Stock Market Bulls Are the Most Complacent Since 2008! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I have to trade and invest in the markets that I have before me and not the ones that I desire! Therefore, I must be able to approach the market place from a completely ‘unbiased’ perspective. I do not care if the markets doubles in price, or if it is cut in half. I take advantage of moves in both directions by using my ‘short term spikes’ which I have shown you, over the past couple of weeks, in order to lock in profits in as short a period as 48 hours.
Thursday, April 07, 2016
Stock Market Nice & Nasti / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Denali_Guide
Volume & Breadth
Two reliable tools in my kit.
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Thursday, April 07, 2016
The New Case For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
James Rickards, Chief Global Strategist at West Shore Funds and a widely renowned author is interviewed by FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long in which they discuss Jim’s just released book The New Case for Gold. They also delve into issues concerning the false perceptions of the world switching back to a Gold Standard and the reasons for a suspected G-20 stealth “Shanghai Accord”.
Thursday, April 07, 2016
Can We Grow Out Of Our Economic Problems If We’re Not Actually Growing? / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Rubino
The rationale for today’s easy money policies is pretty straightforward: Falling interest rates and rising government deficits will counteract the drag of excessive debts taken on in previous stimulus programs and asset bubbles, enabling the developed world to create wealth faster than it takes on new debt. The result: a steady decline in debt/GDP to levels that allow the current system to survive without wrenching changes.
Thursday, April 07, 2016
The More Corrupt the State, the More Numerous the Laws / Politics / Social Issues
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno
Today, I’m going to share one of the most important things I’ve learned traveling around the world: There’s a crucial difference between committing a real crime and breaking the law.
I’ve seen it firsthand in the Middle East as well as many other places.
The difference is huge and few people understand it.
Thursday, April 07, 2016
Negative Interest Rates Could Trigger Another Housing Market Bubble / Housing-Market / Global Housing Markets
By: Sol_Palha
"From top to bottom of the ladder, greed is aroused without knowing where to find ultimate foothold. Nothing can calm it, since its goal is far beyond all it can attain. Reality seems valueless by comparison with the dreams of fevered imaginations; reality is therefore abandoned." ~ Emile Durkheim
Sweden is already in the mature stages of experiencing a housing crisis. Take a look at the chart below. Home prices are surging simply because it is cheap to borrow money. The lower the interest payments, the more you can borrow. Hence, individuals throw caution to the wind and start chasing property because they believe prices will continue trending upwards. What they forget is that no market can trend upward forever.
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Thursday, April 07, 2016
The Interesting Relationship Between Silver Rallies and Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
It is not well known, that historically silver and interest rates have actually moved together (in the long-term). When interest rates are going up, then silver is going up. When interest rates are going down, silver is going down. In the short-term, interest rates and silver can diverge (like since about 2002 to now); however, this is temporary.
Interest rates have been going down for the last 34 years. Due to this long downward trend, many believe that interest rates will not rise. Unknowingly (due to the correlation between silver and interest rates), they indirectly believe that silver will not rise.
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Thursday, April 07, 2016
SPX Challenging 4.3-year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is challenging its 4.3-year trendline at 2055.00 in the Premarket this morning. Should it break through, we may see Intermediate-term support at 2033.81 being challenged next.
ZeroHedge reports, “Two days after stocks slid in a coordinated risk-off session, and one day after a DOE estimate of US oil inventories sent US stocks surging while the failed Allergan-Pfizer deal unleashed torrential hopes of a biotech M&A spree leading to the single best day for the sector in 5 years, sentiment has again shifted, this time due to a violent surge in the Yen as the market keeps testing the resolve of the Japanese central bank to keep its currency weak, and so far finding it to be nonexistent.
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Thursday, April 07, 2016
Dow Jones Complacency Hits New Heights / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: AnyOption
What a difference two months can make as evidenced by the rapid rebound in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. A quick look at one of the most commonly quoted American equity benchmarks shows a remarkable rally over the past two months. However, fundamentally, nothing is different now than two months ago. In fact, the increasingly hawkish commentary of the Federal Reserve and potential rate hikes in the first and second half of the year could spell the beginning of a new round of asset reallocation as the upside benefits are negated by the potential downside risks. Chasing after this latest rally higher in equities may not be wise considering the growing risks not only to the economic outlook, but additionally from the revenue recession currently sweeping across publicly traded American companies. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 07, 2016
Roadblocks to a Full-Fledged Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
Since bottoming in February, the stock market "tape" has been very constructive. The NYSE advance-decline (A-D) line led the rally off the February lows, which is the first thing we look for when judging the strength of a bottom. Even more importantly, the cumulative NYSE new highs-new lows indicator continues to climb off its bottom of a few weeks ago and is advancing on a daily basis (below). Internal momentum, as reflected in the highs-lows, also remains positive.
Thursday, April 07, 2016
Gold Ratio Charts Revisited / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
As the consolidation phase continues to build out from this first impulse move up in the precious metals sector lets review some of the charts we’ve looked at previously that suggested the bear market might be over. Most of these charts will be ratio charts which compare different sectors to one another These rather complex charts can give us some hidden clues that an important reversal may have taken place.
The consolidation process takes its toll on both the bulls and the bears alike. As you know there are never any guarantees of anything when it comes to the markets so it’s always important to try and get the big picture right to get the odds in your favor.
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