Friday, April 28, 2017
Looking for Epic Signs? Enter Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In yesterday's alert we wrote that the reversal in the precious metals market should once again not be taken at its face value and that one should not overreact based on it as the size of the potential rally was limited. Well, it turned out that "limited rally" was an euphemism for a decline. Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again despite the previous day's reversal and gold stocks confirmed the breakdown below the key support line. The implications are strongly bearish. However, there's something ever more bearish and much more profound.
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Friday, April 28, 2017
BOOM! Bitcoin Price Blasts To New All Time High! / Commodities / Bitcoin
Having followed bitcoin since it was $3 in 2011 we have had many, many “all time high” celebrations.
Breaking $10 was a small celebration. Breaking $100 had us cheering and buying a round of drinks at the bar. And, when it broke $1,000, TDV subscribers were heard around the world buying sports cars and yachts.
But with bitcoin breaking above $1,325.00 to hit an all time high of $1,331.31 on CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI), this is a memorable one.
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Friday, April 28, 2017
Stock Market Consolidation Day, Poor Technicals, NDX Reaches New All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had an interesting, very mixed, session today, with the Nasdaq 100 making new all-time highs, closing near 5572, a gain of over 30 points.
The day started out with a gap up on the Nasdaq 100, but not so much on the S&P 500. When they moved higher in the morning, and then pulled back, the S&P 500 made lower lows, but the Nasdaq 100 formed a bull wedge. The Nasdaq 100 broke out midday, along with the S&P 500, which ran up, and in the afternoon, they pulled back, the Nasdaq 100 rallying again to new highs, but the S&P 500 couldn’t even get through the declining topsline. It was a very mixed session, continuing the consolidation on a higher range on the Nasdaq 100, but more of a pullback low on the blue chips.
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Friday, April 28, 2017
Walkers Pay Packet Instant Win Crisps 50% Price Hike! Morrisons / ConsumerWatch / Freebies and Comps
It looks like some of the major super markets such as Morrisons are attempting to capitalise on Walkers crisps latest promotion of instantly winning between £5 and £28k, by hiking the price of at least the multi-packs by 50% within a couple of weeks of the start the promotion. So instead of a walkers 6 pack costing £1 as they were a couple of weeks ago, they now cost £1.50. What's the odds they will soon be hiked once more to £2?
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Friday, April 28, 2017
Earth Overshoot Day - Human Population Growth / Politics / Environmental Issues
The second half of the 20th century saw the biggest increase in the world’s population in human history. Our population surged because of:
- Medical advances lessened the mortality rate in many countries
- Massive increases in agricultural productivity caused by the “Green Revolution”
The global death rate has dropped almost continuously since the start of the industrial revolution – personal hygiene, improved methods of sanitation and the development of antibiotics all played a major role.
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Friday, April 28, 2017
Misunderstanding GDXJ: Why It’s Actually Great News For Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
Something extraordinarily good for junior precious metals miners just happened. But for some reason it’s being misinterpreted as a bad thing. Here’s the general story:
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Friday, April 28, 2017
What Makes Bitcoin Casinos So Remarkable? / Personal_Finance / Gambling
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Friday, April 28, 2017
How Morrisons Sells 120ml of Frozen Water for £1 / ConsumerWatch / Retail Sector
Find out how Morrisons is able to pull of a miracle, one of being able to sell about 120ml of frozen water to their customers for £1! The super market giants are always playing a game of trying to get one up on their customers. You all probably know about 'shrinkflation', the ever shrinking contents whilst the prices stay the same or even rise. Then there is the dropping the number of items in multi packs, any devious trick in the book is being pulled to get one over their customers, a couple of months ago it was the BBC revealing Tesco's fake shelf prices that fail to convert at the checkouts.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
Financial Markets Improvised Explosives / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
What happens when new currency is created with few limits by central banks and commercial banks?
Answer: Far too much debt and currency are created.
Central Bank Balance Sheets have increased by $10 trillion in the last decade and $1 trillion YTD in 2017.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
This Chart Reveals Turkey’s Real Economic Position In The Balkans / Politics / Turkey
By Geopolitical Futures : Building economic ties should be the major avenue for Turkey to develop inroads into the Balkans. Turkey is a European power as well as a Middle Eastern power, and it has been a key player in the Balkans for centuries.
But Turkey’s influence in the Balkans and the rest of southern Europe is currently limited at best.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
The Political Left Has Lost Its Vision / Politics / Social Issues
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND JACOB L. SHAPIRO : French voters headed to the polls on Sunday in the first round of France’s presidential election. With the rise of National Front candidate Marine Le Pen, the election raises the question of what is happening to the “left.” What does it even mean to be on the left?
When the Industrial Revolution led to urbanization, the left became the champion of the poor and the working class. But over the last few decades, this has changed.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
Trump 100, Margin Debt Stock Bubble and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
– Stocks and the dollar look vulnerable due to Trump’s policies, America’s civil war politics and economic vulnerability
– Stock bubble on margin debt – ‘Powerful time bomb’
– “There is no alternative” to stock bubble? Gold?
– Bank Of America sets a date for the market’s “Great Fall”
– Even uber bull Cramer compares 2000 dotcom bubble bust to today
– Gold to stay elevated on safe haven demand – Economist
– Gold’s tempered climb makes gains more ‘sustainable’
Thursday, April 27, 2017
This is the Bottom in The Gold Miners - GDX and GDXJ / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
Zach writes: This is the bottom in gold mining ETFs GDX and GDXJ. How can I say that so confidently, I hear you ask?
The charts are talking to us...Here goes...
1. We are seeing bottoming tails on the Daily chart of both GDX and GDXJ, which indicates a bottom - in conjunction with other factors.
2. We are into 75% fib levels, which are very reliable levels of support in the case of the gold miners.
Thursday, April 27, 2017
More Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Get Close To Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Stock Market Expected Pullback After Two Big Upside Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices churned and were choppy all day, and at the end of the day they sold off after the tax plan was released, but loses were very minor after a couple big days to the upside.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 21.03 at 20,975,09, about 90 points off the high. The S&P 500 was down 1.16 at 2387.45, 11 points off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 7.11 at 5541.09, 22 points off the high.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
Elliott Wave Theory: Is Elliott’s Theory Enough? / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By Daud Bhatti : Elliott wave Theory: Is Elliott’s Theory a system in itself?
As many traders know, The Elliott wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Elliott’s Theory was developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott and published in 1938 in the book The Wave Principle. The Theory states that collective investor psychology, or crowd psychology, moves between optimism and pessimism in natural sequences. These mood swings create patterns evidenced in the price movements of markets at every degree of trend or time scale.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
Gold and Silver in a Dangerous World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Peter Ginelli writes: Since the inauguration of President Trump, it appears that nearly every morning we wake up to a new major political crisis at home and around the globe. From Syria to North Korea, Russia, Iran, ISIS and beyond, the world has become an increasingly dangerous place to live or invest in.
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
An Even More Bullish Wave Count for GOLD! - Daily-Elliott-wave-analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
USDJPY
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: BOJ Outlook Report, BOJ Policy Rate, BOJ Press Conference. Household Spending y/y. USD: Unemployment Claims, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Pending Home Sales m/m.
Thursday, April 27, 2017
UK Repossessed Houses: do They Still Represent the Best-valued Properties? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Jake Moore writes: “Repossessions typically come to market 30% under their market value. “ - This commonly used statement is absolutely correct, however, doesn’t fairly paint the picture of the risk vs reward.
Let’s start with desert; reward!
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Thursday, April 27, 2017
Are UK Consumers Taking Too Much Debt? / Interest-Rates / UK Debt
The UK lending market has benefited from the reduced lending rates after the interest rate was reduced to an historical low. The UK base interest rate was cut in half in August last year to 0.25% in a bid to stimulate economic growth and it has remained at this level for the last eight months. This affected the UK Prime Lending Rate, which fell to 1.25% from about 1.55% in July and has since remained fixed at this level.Read full article... Read full article...