Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, January 22, 2018
Two Factors for Gold That You Don’t Want to Miss / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Even though mining stocks closed last week below the Jan. 2 close and silver even declined below the Dec 31, 2017 close, gold moved higher. It’s not far from this year’s top either. So, is all well and are bullish gold price forecasts justified? Not necessarily. In today’s article, we show you two reasons why it’s a good idea to think twice before opening long positions in gold.
Some time ago we discussed the apex technique for the HUI Index and it worked perfectly, triggering a reversal right at the apex of the triangle. Today, we can see something very similar on the long-term GDX ETF chart and in light of the mentioned performance, it shouldn’t be ignored. Let’s take a look at the details (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Monday, January 22, 2018
Gold Price Is Facing Triangle Pattern Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Franco_Shao
XAUUSD is facing the resistance of the upper trend line (now at around 1343.00) of the triangle pattern on its weekly chart once again. Being contained by the trend line, the gold price pulled back from 1344.65.
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Monday, January 22, 2018
Why You Must Own Silver in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
While Gold is very close to a major breakout (in price) its strength has not filtered down to Silver yet. Gold is 3% away from a major breakout and comfortably above its long-term moving averages. However, Silver is well below its 2016 high and is currently battling its 200-day moving average. But that is okay. Silver typically lags and underperforms Gold until Gold gains momentum or breaks key resistance. A major breakout in Gold this year and its effect on Silver is just one reason why Silver could have a big year.
Sunday, January 21, 2018
Silver As Strategic Metal: Why Its Price Will Soar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The arguments in favor of silver as an investment asset are growing rapidly. In the opinion of the Jackass, silver is the most under-valued hard asset in existence, with the highest potential for price appreciation on the globe. To begin with, central banks own no silver, but do own huge tracts of gold. Industry has huge demand for silver, but a trifling amount for gold demand. The investment demand is another key factor in favor of silver, but also for gold. Ever since the tech telecom bust in 2000, the precious metals growth curve has been evident. Ever since the subprime bond disaster in 2007, followed by the Lehman strangulation in 2008, the precious metals growth curve has continued. It is suppressed like holding back a team of six stagecoach Clydesdale horses by simple leather straps held by mere men with computers on their backs. Ever since the QE inflation policy of monetizing the USGovt debt, the monetary role of Gold & Silver has never been more acute in modern history. But silver offers much more.
Saturday, January 20, 2018
Macro Trend Changes for Gold in 2018 and Beyond - Empire Club of Canada / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nick_Barisheff
It is a pleasure to speak again at the Empire Club.
I have always believed that the future price of gold is best understood through long-term irreversible trends. Today’s macro trend changes are part of a looming tectonic shift that started decades ago, and have not been adequately reported by the mainstream media.
Since the 2008 financial crisis, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) introduced new banking rules, to be implemented by 2019, which stipulated that “gold bullion held in own vaults or on an allocated basis can be treated as cash and therefore risk-weighted at 0%.” In addition, the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) adopted a new rule on August 30, 2012 that stated “gold bullion held in the banking organization’s own vaults, or held in another depository institution’s vaults on an allocated basis, can be rated zero percent risk.”
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Friday, January 19, 2018
Bond Market Bear Creating Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Richard_Mills
Gold is climbing as bond yields rise and the dollar falls, over speculation that China is pulling back on buying US Treasuries and Japan signals it is winding down its quantitative easing program. Meanwhile, US debt continues to grow after the Republicans under President Trump pushed a trillion dollars worth of tax cuts through the Senate, that the Congressional Budget Office thinks will add $1.7 trillion to the deficit over the next decade.
Friday, January 19, 2018
Upside Risk for Gold in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Black swans are very surprising and rare events. As they are beyond the realm of normal expectations, it is impossible to predict them. However, analysts do not care about such details and they outdo each other in forecasts. Our favorite is the list of ten outrageous predictions published by the Saxo Bank. The risk events include: the loss of Fed’s independence for the U.S. Treasury, the plunge in Bitcoin prices as government strike back, the abandonment of the yield curve control by the Bank of Japan, or the harsh division between the old and new EU members.
Friday, January 19, 2018
For Americans Buying Gold and Silver: Still a Big U.S. Pricing Advantage / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
David Smith: Two years ago, in this space, I penned an essay discussing how Americans - and other countries that are "dollarized" - where the local currency is either the USD or pegged to it - had a significant advantage when it came to getting the most for their money when exchanging dollars for precious metals.
Lately I looked into this issue again and the good news is - it's still a good deal. In relation to a lot of other folks, even better than before! But the bad news is that this might not be the case much longer...
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Friday, January 19, 2018
Will Surge in Bond Yields Smash Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Yields on U.S. Treasuries have leaped recently. It will wreck the yellow metal. Or maybe not.
Yields Reach New Heights. Breakthrough for Gold?
Last week, we wrote that concerns emerged that China could stop or slow buying the U.S. Treasuries. The U.S. bond yields reacted strongly. We noted that in theory it should sink gold, but the usual “correlation between bullion and Treasury yields broke down thanks to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, which supported the gold prices”. Due to the importance of that issue for the gold outlook, we continued to monitor the developments in the bond market to keep investors updated.
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Thursday, January 18, 2018
Bitcoin Crash Sees Flight To Physical Gold Coins and Bars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
‘Digital Gold’ Bitcoin Flight To Safe Haven Physical Gold
– Latest bitcoin, crypto crash causes gold coin and bar demand to surge
– Bitcoin down 40% from high, Ripple down 50% and Ethereum down 30%
– Ripple and ‘Digital gold’ Bitcoin fall past key psychological price levels
– $300bn wiped from cryptocurrency fortunes in just 36 hours
– New research says that there is ‘Price Manipulation in the Bitcoin Ecosystem’
– Savvy crypto buyers converted their short term gains into physical gold bars, coins
– Bitcoin and Ripple sellers bought gold both for delivery and storage from GoldCore
– Gold ETF holdings rise – Assets in iShares Gold soar to $10.7 b, highest in 5 years
– 95% of cryptocurrencies will go to zero …
Thursday, January 18, 2018
How to Trade Gold During Second Half of January, Daily Cycle Prediction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Metals are setting up for that “Rip Your Face Off Rally”. The following charts for Gold and Silver show a very interesting setup that is unfolding as the US markets continue to strengthen – that being that the Metals are showing strength in price and we can only assume this is related to some level of FEAR in the markets or expectations that the “Equities and Bitcoin Bubbles” are nearing an end.
Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Silver Volume Extreme as in April 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
During yesterday’s session silver moved back and forth in a volatile manner on volume that was the highest since April 2013. There were a few volume spikes in the meantime, but none as big as what we saw yesterday. The silver market is being very loud. But are you listening?
It may be hard to notice silver’s signs with all that’s happening in the USD Index and given the rally in gold stocks, but it’s definitely worth it. Let’s investigate (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, January 16, 2018
Does CoT Show Battle over Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has released the latest CoT report. What can we learn from it about the gold market?
Light and Darkness in the Gold Market
The epic battle between good and evil. The conflict between light and darkness. We and them. This is how some analysts portray the Commitments of Traders report. Commercials, i.e. bullion banks such as JP Morgan, are of course the bad guys.
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Tuesday, January 16, 2018
Silver Prices To Surge – JP Morgan Has Acquired A “Massive Quantity of Physical Silver” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
– JP Morgan continues to accumulate the biggest stockpile of physical silver in history
– “JPM now holds more than 133m oz -more than was held by the Hunt Bros” – Butler
– Silver hoard owned by JPM has increased from Zero ozs in 2011 to 120m ozs today
– Money managers showing more optimism towards silver through record buying
– “Near impossible to rule out an upside price surprise at any moment”
Sunday, January 14, 2018
Is This The Long-Awaited Gold Break-Out – Or Just Another Paper Market Head Fake? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: John_Rubino
That was fun. Since mid-December gold has behaved like a tech stock, jumping from $1,240/oz to $1,337 and carrying a long list of gold mining stocks along for the ride.
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Saturday, January 13, 2018
Gold Miners’ Status Updated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
After a positive year-end with the expected precious metals rally we noted on Dec. 31, in NFTRH 480:
“With HUI dwelling just under the 195 resistance parameter, a pullback can come at any time. But there are enough other factors still in line to expect a resumed rally after any grind at resistance comes into play.”
and then on Jan. 7, in NFTRH 481:
Read full article... Read full article...“What HUI actually did was immediately push up into the 195-200 resistance zone, become overbought and hang around there all week in consolidation. Here is the noisy daily chart once again. Let’s focus on how the most recent RSI oversold condition in December did indeed spring a tradable rally. As chartists saw the October/November shelf of support break down and then the July lows breached the call was ‘BEARISH!’ far and wide. Shorts were taken on the say so of people who know how to look laterally and see one thing lower than the other thing.
Saturday, January 13, 2018
Gold And Silver – Review of Annual, Qrtly, Monthly, Weekly Charts. Reality v Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Michael_Noonan
Usually we have a commentary of some kind as a back story to what is going on in the PMs. Our commentaries have become fewer and farther between because of the absurdity of government control, which in turn is controlled by the ruling elite. Not a day goes by that the president elect, Donald Trump, is not severely criticized by mainstream media, both televised and in print. We have never seen this kind of maltreatment toward a president, ever. It is the Deep State exposing its ugly tentacles to keep Trump from gaining any traction in popularity, and it speaks to the bitter disappoint that Deep State favorite, and one upon whom they could depend, Hillary Clinton lost.
Sadly, Trump has been overwhelmed by the shadow powers and turned into yet another presidential puppet that will disappoint perhaps even more than turncoat Obama. Many of Trump’s promises of reform have been cast aside in favor of bowing to the dictates of the ruling elites. the swamp creature have survived the draining attempt and are back stronger than ever.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
These 3 Facts Show Gold Is Set to Surge in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldSilver
Jeff Clark : Crypto and stock prices grabbed most of the investment headlines in 2017. But by the end of 2018, a different asset class is bound to spark investor’s attention.
There are multiple reasons for that, starting with the fact that no trend or bull market lasts forever. But it’s about more than just the prolonged run in equities and runaway prices in cryptos.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Macroeconomic Outlook for 2018 and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Luckily or not, 2017 is behind us. It was a positive year for the gold market, as the yellow market gained more than 12 percent. However, investors are forward-looking, so let’s focus on what the coming months will bring. The next year will be shaped mostly by the following broad economic trends:
1. Global activity is improving.
2. Labor markets are strengthening further.
3. Subdued inflation is finally rising (but moderately).
4. Central banks are slowly reducing their monetary policy stimulus.
5. Interest rates are rising.
Thursday, January 11, 2018
Will Chinese Dragon Boost or Devour Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
China may slow down its U.S. debt buying. Will gold rally or plunge, then?
Dragons Love Hoarding Gold and Not Only
Dragons love gold. In Greek mythology, dragons were set by the gods to guard golden treasures. It makes perfect sense, since it would be rather difficult to find better guards. Everybody who watched The Hobbit series knows that this is true – the powerful Smaug hoarded a lot and was really obsessed with his shiny treasure.
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