Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Stock Market Last Day Selling..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We finally saw the market pull back some late today as those high RSI readings kicked in. It wasn't the type of selling that says the market is doomed from here because that's not likely the case at all. When markets get overbought they need to unwind so you have to look at the selling that takes place more as an opportunity rather than a it's all over for the market type of situation. Selling is never fun if you have a long bias and it doesn't take very much selling to kick fear in pretty hard. Again, greed is easy. Fear is a tough son of a gun. With the late day selling we saw some of the 60-minute charts do quite a bit of unwinding although by no means should that selling be totally over. We can try to grind higher again but upside will be very tough indeed for the very short-term.
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Tuesday, March 09, 2010
Stocks Unhappy Anniversary / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Today marks the one-year anniversary of what proved to be the low-point for risk assets in the post Lehman Brothers meltdown. However, as is typical in the wake of a US non-farm payrolls report, markets were pretty subdued overnight. Whilst Asian bourses rallied strongly yesterday in catch-up to Friday’s US price action, most key bourses in Europe have closed virtually unchanged Monday as did those in North America (indeed the S&P 500 traded within just a 4 index point range).
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Tuesday, March 09, 2010
A Stock Bull Market Requires a Healthy Consumer Underneath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A year ago this week the stock market hit its nefarious 666 level on the S&P 500. Since that historic day, we have enjoyed a 68% appreciation in equities from their depressionary low. Not only has the bounce caused a chorus of perma-bulls to claim the worst of the recession is behind us, but also to declare that the bull market is here to stay.
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Tuesday, March 09, 2010
S&P VIX Ratio Signals Looming Decline for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Exactly fifty two weeks after the S&P500 hit its 12-year lows at 666, the index rose 68%, driving down the VIX near January's 19-month lows. Much analysis has been done on equity indices and the VIX on the S&P index options. But the relationship between the two merits closer attention. Neither the S&P500, nor the Dow have yet retested their January highs.
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Monday, March 08, 2010
Stock Market Grinding Action at Overbought..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Which is exactly what we're doing right here. With S&P 500 resistance at 1151 and with many index charts at 70 RSI's, it's not easy here for major upside until we get some unwinding of those daily charts to where the RSI's are at least in the lower 60's, if not somewhere in the 50's. It's not just that we're overbought, but again, when you add in major resistance 1% away, it makes the journey that much more difficult for sustained upside in the short-term.
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Sunday, March 07, 2010
If You Can't Beat 'Em, Join 'Em, Right? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Well before we go and buy stocks BLINDLY based on emotions we need to take a look at the indexes first. Why? Because most stocks trade in tandem with the indexes and success in the market is all about knowing what's happening and likely to happen in the indexes and executing your plan based on that action.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 07, 2010
On the Brink of an Asset Explosion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I can virtually guarantee that what I’m about to suggest isn’t on anybody’s radar screen. But before I share my prediction, a little background analysis is in order.
There have been seven previous bull markets that were born in the depths of vicious bear markets similar to what we just went through. Each one of those bulls racked up impressive gains during the initial thrust out of the final low. Throwing out the `32 to `37 bull as an anomaly not likely to be repeated, the average gain for the first two legs of bulls with similar DNA as our own has been between 41% and 73%. After the second leg each one of these bulls underwent a mild corrective pullback of 8% to 14%.
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Stock Market S&P 500 Trend, What a Pump! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I have not been posting as frequently as last year. That’s partly because of time constraints. It also is because I have been trying to shift my own approach to longer moves. So, I try to lay out a plan for the week, and try to monitor the progress of the plan. If nothing’s going against the plan, there is no need change it. If adjustments are needed or something develops that may put the plan in jeopardy, then I revisit and would definitely post. Don’t get me wrong, I like to post everyday or even more frequently. But, sometimes, other pressing issues steal the time :-)
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Stock Market Resumes Upward Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last week's action marks a pivotal point in the stock market cycle. Both improving fundamentals and technicals have shifted the risk/reward ratio towards the long side while IBD has officially called a resumption of an upward trend.
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Stock Market Post Crash Peak Price Recovery Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Recovery time is a basic concept that we all understand in terms of being out of breath with a rapid pulse after a hard run (for the young), or a trip upstairs for some of us with a few more years of age. The greater the severity of the physical stress and the more prolonged the depletion of short-term reserves, the longer the required recovery time. The better condition we are going into hard work, the shorter our recovery time. Perhaps there a similar kinds of effects in the stock markets.
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Stock Market Running Higher..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What other expression fits this market but that. We gapped up this morning on a much better than expected employment report. Far less jobs lost than expected, even with the bad weather. This gave some decent futures a bigger bump up and off we ran. First we saw the bears fight some giving the indexes an early black candles but it didn't last long as the bulls took over. The Nasdaq out performed all day but the other major indexes did quite well on their own. When beta leads it's good news for the market and higher beta definitely led for this day. In fact, the Nasdaq made a new intraday high over the last high by a point, 2327 versus 2326.
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Stock Market Strong Close to Great Week for Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices closed the week on a very strong note as opening gaps, and big ones, blew the indices right out of their 3-day consolidations. A strong follow up rally ensued as the indices spiked sharply higher in the morning. They then consolidated in stair-step fashion moving higher on the Nasdaq 100, though sideways on the S&P 500, but late in the session the SPX thrust and played catch-up, actually outdoing the NDX with highs near 1890 NDX and 1139 SPX. At that point they backed off in the last hour but came on again toward the close.
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Friday, March 05, 2010
Stocks Bull Market Correction Continues Accumulating Bear Cannon Fodder / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterFebruary 28th, 2010 Issue #13 Vol. 4
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Friday, March 05, 2010
Stock Market Danger and Safety Levels, Where Are We Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Danger/Safety Zones: Danger, risks, fear, safety, greed, confidence and bravery are perceived or emotional components that investors have to deal with.
It was with this in mind that we worked on a model that would show the market's danger and safety levels simultaneously on a graph.
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Friday, March 05, 2010
Stock Market Poised for Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Poised for Jobs
The market is getting its hopes up...
Thursday, March 04, 2010
Stock Markets Testing the 78.6 Fibonacci Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What’s Behind Doors 1, 2 and 3?
Here we are testing the 78.6 Fibonacci Level.
Thursday, March 04, 2010
Stock Market Battle Lines Drawn Between Bulls and Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
To many technicians, it is very clear where the equity markets will reverse, and for those folks who don't follow the technicals, this is a key reversal area in the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and the Dow.
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Thursday, March 04, 2010
Stock Market Hanging Tough..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This market is really trying to hang tough and hold S&P 500 1115. It's not bad if it falls below by a few points as the oscillators unwind from overbought, but that level held on today's lows as things finally started to pull back off their highs. As soon as it hit at 1115 buyers came in showing you what the bulls think of staying above this level just captured yesterday for the first time off the recent lows.
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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
Stock Market Trend Reversal Doji Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Reversal
The market formed a doji.
Tuesday, March 02, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Vs. Bears, Who’s Winning Wall Street’s Biggest Battle? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Two big economic reports dampened the mood on Wall Street in the past week: The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller Home Price Index and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index.
But despite what the bears would have you believe, several strong companies have shrugged such data aside and broken through to new highs. In fact, long-term, we continue to see evidence that a robust business-led recovery is underway.