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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stocks Bear Market

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, May 16, 2014

Has the Stocks Bear Market Returned? Maybe / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor

Following up on my last article it does look like stocks have begun to move down into the yearly cycle low that I was expecting.

The failed breakout was a big warning sign. After a month and a half consolidation there was no reason for the breakout to fail. By the second test of the 1900 level stocks should have built up enough energy to break through and hold at that point.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 29, 2014

Why Mutual Fund Managers Cannot Protect Investors In Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

Over my 27 years in the business, I often discuss bull and bear markets with investors. A couple of popular beliefs frequently surprise me.

The first is that bear markets are rare events. Investors are still surprised, some even shocked, that two bear markets, 2000-2003 and 2007-2009, took place within a nine-year period. Yet there have been 25 bear markets over the last 113 years, or one on average of every 4.5 years.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 10, 2014

Disinformation War Still Dominates Stock Markets - Charts to watch / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

Bulls--t and criminality back in 1970 was much the same as bulls--t and criminality now.

January 2014 marked the 44th anniversary of one of the biggest mistakes of my life. Back in January 1970, I was young and inexperienced as to how stock markets functioned and balked at selling on the huge profit I was making at the time. The Australian speculative boom in nickel stocks was peaking and everyone around me was saying it was going to last forever. Even the solicitor I was using at the time told me to hold on, while unbeknown to me, he was actually dumping huge quantities of one of the stocks I was holding. This was in the middle of a huge feeding frenzy of disinformation that makes up a large part of every bull trap that has ever existed. But then as now the market tone was and is changing, from one where greed and overoptimism dominate, to one where fear again regains ascendance. Bull traps have forever been defined in these terms.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 30, 2014

The Disappearing Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

See what happens in the financial markets when the bears vanish

If Inspector Gadget or Maxwell Smart had lived in the digital age, their bosses would have used the smartphone app Snapchat to deliver their secret missions.

Snapchat is a popular app with about 8 million users that lets your smartphone send a photo that self-destructs seconds after your recipient views it. As of September 2013, users were sending about 350-400 million vanishing messages a day -- which compares with the 127.5 million shares that changed hands in the Dow on Jan. 27, 2014.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 25, 2014

The Coming Stock Market Bear Market Rally Bust / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

Regardless of what we hear from various sources, fact is, the economy peaked in 2000. This peak corresponded with the stock market top in 2000, which was followed by the decline into the 2002 low. Since that decline began, the money masters have tried to reignite the underlying economy and in the process they have only made matters worse.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 17, 2014

Timing Major Stock Market Peaks, Bear Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Hampson

Starting on the smallest timescale, and working up to the largest.

1. Timing within the month

Lunar phasing influences human sentiment. It produces fortnightly oscillation in the stock market: positivity/optimism around the new moon and negativity/pessimism around the full moon. The cumulative influence of this can be seen in stock market returns over the last 20 years:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 15, 2014

Four Totally Bad Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Note from dshort: At the request of Greg Patterson at The Advisory Group in San Francisco, here’s updated comparison of four major cyclical bear markets. The numbers are through today’s close.

This chart series features an overlay of the Four Bad Bears in U.S. history since the market peak in 1929. They are:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 13, 2014

U.S. Stocks Bull Market Peak, New Bear Market At Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Hampson

First, a compilation of indicators and flags warning of a major market top in US equities:

Bull Market History Statistics

Dow is up more than 5% five consecutive years now and a sixth such year has not happened before in history.

A 5-year bull trend only occurred once before, in the 1990s, and was followed by 3 down years.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 23, 2013

Stock Market Forecast 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Hampson

Dow is up more than 5% five consecutive years now. A sixth such year has not happened before in history. A 5-year bull trend only occurred once before, in the 1990s, and was followed by 3 down years. Russell 2k rallies of similar size and duration to 2013′s (excluding accelerations from major bear lows) are shown below. In each case all the gains were given back the following year.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 23, 2013

Stock Market Top - Bear Market Forecast 2014 to 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor


It's been my theory for some time now that this QE driven bull market would top either in late 2013 or early 2014, followed by a multi-month stagnation process as liquidity leaked into the commodity markets.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Demise of the Social Compact is leading us to the next GFC / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

For those readers of my commentaries who do not look at charts on a regular basis, the price charts in the commentary that follows this one, should be a timely reminder of where we are in the scheme of things and how unrelated to the real world equity prices have become as a result. Risk is now at levels not seen since 2006 – 2008. What makes this situation even more unstable and untenable over the short to medium term, is that the Obama government, as part of their plan to destroy the US Tea Party once and for all by grabbing a majority vote in the US house of Reps on November 4th 2014, will be doing “whatever it takes” to keep the US dollar depressed and US equities on the boil. But despite this, financial markets are just too big and too fragmented to be totally controlled – even by the USA.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 22, 2013

Stock Market Final High, Then the Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

There appears to be one more probe higher to complete Minor Wave C of Intermediate Wave (2).  I estimate that it may go as far as 1800.00, but may not be able to touch the hourly Cycle Top at 1800.70. 

This does not invalidate the comments regarding the reversal made in yesterday’s Closing Commentary.  If anything, it may push the ultimate low forward another day or two. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Is a Stocks Bear Market Right Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short.

What the 2007 Top Can Tell Us about the Present

The most famous law of economics that everyone learns in Econ 101 is the law of supply and demand. Essentially, if there are more buyers than sellers then prices will go up until equilibrium is reached. Conversely, if there are more sellers than buyers prices will decline. The stock market is no different.

If there are more buyers of stocks than sellers, the stock market will rise and will continue to do so until either the ranks of willing buyers thins out and/or the ranks of sellers grows. When equilibrium is reached between buyers and sellers a market begins to stall. When you have a continued stream of sellers dumping their holdings, a bear market ensues.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

The Dow Jones Stocks Index Probably Peaked Monday (18th Nov 13) / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

I recognise that I’m sticking  my neck out here, but this post will be short and to the point. It seems to me that, barring significant Fed intervention,  the US equity market probably peaked today. Please take the time to read my “Author Comments” that follow the Conclusion.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 18, 2013

New Dow Jones Record? Stock Market Actually in Freefall Since the Year 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Richard_Moyer

Lately, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and most every other market index have been on a tear, setting new records every week. There should be hairy asterisks aside these "records" that belie the larger truth: these aren't records at all. They aren't even close to the January 2000 record of 11,720 in terms of real stuff.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 16, 2013

Why Still Only A Cyclical Stocks Bull Market Within Long-Term Secular Bear / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

In 1999 Warren Buffett famously warned that “The next 17 years will be quite unlike the last 17 years. It might not look much better than the dismal 1965-1982 period.”

He was referring to the market’s history of cycling between long-term ‘secular’ bull and ‘secular’ bear markets, as it has done for at least 113 years.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 15, 2013

Stock Market SPX Topping Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

2013’s incredible stock-market melt-up persisted this week, with the flagship American stock indexes surging to fresh record highs.  The euphoric bulls continue to claim today’s lofty stock prices are justified by reasonable valuations.  But nothing could be farther from the truth.  Stocks are actually very expensive these days, with high valuations seen at major bull-market toppings.  This makes for super-risky markets.

Successful investing demands buying low then selling high, so the price paid for any stock is absolutely critical to its ultimate return.  Paying too much, buying even a great company’s stock when it is too expensive, virtually assures poor future gains at best.  And overpaying when a bull market happens to be topping will lead to severe losses, as subsequent bears cut in half even the mightiest blue-chip stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Too Many Stock Market Dummies are Getting Rich... Huge Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Clive_Maund

We know that the Fed and other Central Banks are printing money like there's no tomorrow to stop the fragile system from imploding, but the Little Guy is not seeing any benefit from it, instead the banks and elites are making even more money out of that which is spirited into existence and then handed to them on a platter by driving asset prices higher and higher. The Little Guy instead gets stuck with the bill as he becomes a victim of the inflation that results.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

New Stock Market High - S&P and Dow Following Separate Paths / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Ed_Carlson

The methods of George Lindsay were meant to be applied to the Dow Industrials index and he warned against using these methods on broader indices (S&P 500, Wilshire 5,000, etc.) because of the constant rotation of stocks in and out of the indices and the inclusion of, what he called, "unseasoned issues". But with all major equity indices (DJIA, SPX, and NASDAQ) setting highs on or near 9/18/13 it looked as if the Lindsay forecast for a high in the Dow at that point in time was complete; game-set-match. So what are we to make of new highs in the S&P and NASDAQ since that time?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Stock Market Investors Must Be Cautious At These Prices, Major Top Lurking… / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week on October 8th the financial market experienced a broad based sell off. Every sector was down with utilities being the only exception.

The individual leadership stocks, which are typically small to mid-cap companies (IWM – Russell 2K) that have a strong history and outlook of earnings growth, were hit hard as well.

Whenever the broad market experiences a price correction, one of the most important factors I analyze is how well leading stocks hold up and show relative strength to the broad market.

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