Frankly, I am not surprised that the major equity market ETFs in general and the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) in plunged to relieve some of the excessive overbought condition that has developed in recent days. However, the fact that the reversal emerged right at the top of the Aug-Oct trading channel, and right at the upside target measured off of the July-Aug base pattern suggests strongly to me that a meaningful first crack in the uptrend has occurred…

Likely within what will develop into a near-term topping process during the hours and days ahead. In other words, my work is telling me that this down-spike is NOT a dip to use to enter long positions. In any case, let's see whether the bulls or the bears command directional control during the final hour of trading.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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